Thứ Năm, 11 tháng 1, 2018

Waching daily Jan 11 2018

Astrological Alignment Could Herald Major Changes Beginning in January 2018 -- All Planets

in Direct Motion (APDM)

by Wave Rayne,

In the nativity storyline of Christmas, the Astro-Decoders (aka Astrologers/Magi) arrived

with gifts after they had been following the star alignments of the skies to find the baby

Jesus.

These people had to be Magi/Astrologers to know how to follow the stars in the way that

they did.

Stillness in the Storm Editor's Note: The following article suggests a window for affecting

change for the first quarter of 2018, related to astrological alignment.

As with all material on this site, you are encouraged to do your own research and consider

these ideas carefully.

It is also encouraged that you be proactive with your manifestations.

Intention and visualization is the first step, but it isn't the only one.

By all accounts, co-creation is the order of the day, meaning we work with the universe�it

doesn't do everything for us without effort.

Consider this when setting your intentions, especially those related to major changes

in society.

The socio-political arena is a quagmire of conflicting opinion and dischord, nevertheless,

it is the venue for effecting large-scale social changes, and such a venue requires

our participation, not passivity.

When they showed up, they were not turned away, not even for a second by Mary, Joseph

or Jesus.

They were accepted and greeted warmly.....as the first people to welcome this special baby

to the earth.

Going further back in time Abraham, the dude given the first transmission to start a life

of devotion to a singular male God, was also an extraordinarily talented and prophetic

astrologer.

The Kabbalists say today, that Abraham was the world's greatest astrologer of all time.

The mandates by religious dogma and separatist views could never eradicate the study of the

stars because obviously the stars exist, and they are an integral part of our lives.

The whole solar system and all of the stars and planets, and all of life on Earth are

simultaneously connected through a multi-universal and multi-dimensional series of codes.

Star-decoding is the Mother Study of all studies in existence, since the beginning.

In 2018 we are still moving out of the Age of Pisces and into the Age of Aquarius, which

may take a few hundred more years till full integration, and, at the same time, the Procession

of the Equinoxes is underway.

So what is up with the zodiac sign of Aquarius?

The most positive traits of Aquarius emphasize the demonstration of tolerance, acceptance,

diversity, and a live and let live attitude towards all of humanity.

Aquarius is very much into peace and literally abhors violence.

So why wait?

We may as well start bringing the light side of Aquarius forward as much as we can.

APDM is a perfect time to honor the ideals of Aquarius and APDM itself.

We will explain this further in the paragraphs below.

On Jan 2nd, 2018, Urania/Uranus stations direct and we begin a new episode of the celestial

event called All Planets in Direct Motion, (APDM).

The event continues for 65 days until March 8th, when one of the planets stations retrograde

and completes the event.

This is, by the way, the longest APDM event since discovery in 2008 and if you are interested

to know which planet will complete the APDM event, you can get this information and much

more by registering for the Study Course.

APDM is like an ALL SYSTEMS GO command.

This means everything is lined up and ready for the action to take place.

A wave has started out at sea and it steadfastly follows the force of motion to greet the shore.

APDM is a time without retrogrades and, since antiquity, astrologers consider APDM to be

a highly positive time of power and accomplishment, and in general, good luck.

For example, a person born with an APDM has the inherent ability to achieve anything they

desire, that is intended for their soul�s highest interest, and possibly for the good

of all.

Think of Harriet Tubman and Helen Keller.

Also did you know about 12% of the Presidents of the United States were born with APDM birth

charts?

APDM is equally a great time for new ventures of every kind from marriage to business.

In our APDM study course, beginning on January 2nd, 2018, we will observe the events that

happen in real time, and, we will be encouraged to contemplate the solar system as a unified

field, or one field.

This One Field perspective is in contrast to the way astrologers usually look at the

skies which is by analyzing the aspects the planets make to each other, and by locating

the various segmented houses and signs.

With our APDM study, we will come to view the whole solar system as a single unit moving

through time and space.

All the 12 houses and the signs of the zodiac merge into the one field as well.

We will not have to separate out the signs or the planets because within the One Field

includes the Earth too.

We on Earth are part of the one whole solar system!

An added feature of studying APDM is a naturally occurring development of our intuitive faculties.

People who have participated in past APDM study courses have also reported a few amazing

synchronicities, and an enhanced dream states as well.

For more infomation >> Astrological Alignment Could Herald Major Changes Beginning - Duration: 6:27.

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Cómo ESTAMPAR CAMISETAS con diferentes tipos de PAPEL TRANSFER - Duration: 6:59.

For more infomation >> Cómo ESTAMPAR CAMISETAS con diferentes tipos de PAPEL TRANSFER - Duration: 6:59.

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Lawrence O'Donnell Talks News Reporting in the World of Trump - Duration: 3:19.

For more infomation >> Lawrence O'Donnell Talks News Reporting in the World of Trump - Duration: 3:19.

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Top 3 Ways To Grow On YouTube Fast - Duration: 2:58.

Do you want to generate traffic leads and subscribers on autopilot using

YouTube videos? Whether you're just starting a new YouTube channel or want

to grow it to the next level you've come to the right place.

Today I'm gonna give you 3 ways to grow on YouTube fast my name is Herman

Drost I'm a youtube expert that has been using YouTube videos to generate traffic

leads subscribers and sales on autopilot for the last few years I've also been

helping others to grow their own channels the beauty about YouTube is

that you invest your time once then continually reap the rewards your videos

will continually work for you 24 hours a day seven days a week for years to come

for example I currently have videos on my channel I created several years ago

that are still generating traffic leads subscribers and sales on autopilot how

sweet is that here are three ways to grow on YouTube fast in 2018 number one

be passionate about your niche when your passion about your niche to still be

able to keep going even though you may have lost motivation inspiration or

can't come up with any new content instead of trying to copy somebody

else's channel try to be different so automatically people will be attracted

to your own unique style you'll also receive less competition for example

instead of choosing a general niche like dog training why not choose a specific

breed of dog keep in mind that growing a youtube channel is a marathon not a

sprint especially at the beginning when growth

is slow number two know your target audience the more you understand the

wants needs desires and problems of your target audience the more they'll connect

with you there will then become your biggest fans continually work on

improving your channel and your videos so you can better serve your audience

this means designing a professional channel banner designing clickable

thumbnails and structuring the content on your channel homepage so first time

visitors will want to subscribe also focus on improving one element for every

new video you upload number three be consistent the YouTube

algorithm rewards videos that keeps viewers engaged so the longer a viewer

stays watching your video the higher chances of that video appearing in the

search engines and also appearing on other people's channels based upon their

viewing experience therefore make a commitment to upload new videos every

week that keep people engaged set goals for what you want to accomplish for your

channel in 2018 so you'll stay on track you've probably been thinking about or

asked the question how can I avoid the common mistakes that every youtuber

makes while growing their channel? Don't worry I upload new video tutorials every

Monday Thursday and do live streams every Friday hit the red subscribe

button so you'll be notified by email every time I publish a new video make

sure you also check out the video playlists on my channel homepage I'll

see you in the next video

For more infomation >> Top 3 Ways To Grow On YouTube Fast - Duration: 2:58.

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Mera Mann Lochey Gur Darshan Tai | Golden Temple Amritsar | HD Kirtan | Amrit Bani - Duration: 13:34.

ਸਤ ਚਉਪਦੇ ਮਹਲੇ ਚਉਥੇ ਕੇ ॥ Seven Chau-Padas Of The Fourth Mehl. || ਮਾਝ ਮਹਲਾ ੫ ਚਉਪਦੇ ਘਰੁ ੧ ॥ Maajh, Fifth Mehl, Chau-Padas, First House: ਮੇਰਾ ਮਨੁ ਲੋਚੈ ਗੁਰ ਦਰਸਨ ਤਾਈ ॥ My mind longs for the Blessed Vision of the Guru's Darshan. ਬਿਲਪ ਕਰੇ ਚਾਤ੍ਰਿਕ ਕੀ ਨਿਆਈ ॥ It cries out like the thirsty song-bird. ਤ੍ਰਿਖਾ ਨ ਉਤਰੈ ਸਾਂਤਿ ਨ ਆਵੈ ਬਿਨੁ ਦਰਸਨ ਸੰਤ ਪਿਆਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥੧॥ My thirst is not quenched, and I can find no peace, without the Blessed Vision of the Beloved Saint. ||1|| ਹਉ ਘੋਲੀ ਜੀਉ ਘੋਲਿ ਘੁਮਾਈ ਗੁਰ ਦਰਸਨ ਸੰਤ ਪਿਆਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥੧॥ ਰਹਾਉ ॥ I am a sacrifice, my soul is a sacrifice, to the Blessed Vision of the Beloved Saint Guru. ||1||Pause|| ਤੇਰਾ ਮੁਖੁ ਸੁਹਾਵਾ ਜੀਉ ਸਹਜ ਧੁਨਿ ਬਾਣੀ ॥ Your Face is so Beautiful, and the Sound of Your Words imparts intuitive wisdom. ਚਿਰੁ ਹੋਆ ਦੇਖੇ ਸਾਰਿੰਗਪਾਣੀ ॥ It is so long since this rainbird has had even a glimpse of water. ਧੰਨੁ ਸੁ ਦੇਸੁ ਜਹਾ ਤੂੰ ਵਸਿਆ ਮੇਰੇ ਸਜਣ ਮੀਤ ਮੁਰਾਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥੨॥ Blessed is that land where You dwell, O my Friend and Intimate Divine Guru. ||2|| ਹਉ ਘੋਲੀ ਹਉ ਘੋਲਿ ਘੁਮਾਈ ਗੁਰ ਸਜਣ ਮੀਤ ਮੁਰਾਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥੧॥ ਰਹਾਉ ॥ I am a sacrifice, I am forever a sacrifice, to my Friend and Intimate Divine Guru. ||1||Pause|| ਇਕ ਘੜੀ ਨ ਮਿਲਤੇ ਤਾ ਕਲਿਜੁਗੁ ਹੋਤਾ ॥ When I could not be with You for just one moment, the Dark Age of Kali Yuga dawned for me. ਹੁਣਿ ਕਦਿ ਮਿਲੀਐ ਪ੍ਰਿਅ ਤੁਧੁ ਭਗਵੰਤਾ ॥ When will I meet You, O my Beloved Lord?ਮੋਹਿ ਰੈਣਿ ਨ ਵਿਹਾਵੈ ਨੀਦ ਨ ਆਵੈ ਬਿਨੁ ਦੇਖੇ ਗੁਰ ਦਰਬਾਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥੩॥ I cannot endure the night, and sleep does not come, without the Sight of the Beloved Guru's Court. ||3|| ਹਉ ਘੋਲੀ ਜੀਉ ਘੋਲਿ ਘੁਮਾਈ ਤਿਸੁ ਸਚੇ ਗੁਰ ਦਰਬਾਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥੧॥ ਰਹਾਉ ॥ I am a sacrifice, my soul is a sacrifice, to that True Court of the Beloved Guru. ||1||Pause|| ਭਾਗੁ ਹੋਆ ਗੁਰਿ ਸੰਤੁ ਮਿਲਾਇਆ ॥ By good fortune, I have met the Saint Guru. ਪ੍ਰਭੁ ਅਬਿਨਾਸੀ ਘਰ ਮਹਿ ਪਾਇਆ ॥ I have found the Immortal Lord within the home of my own self. ਸੇਵ ਕਰੀ ਪਲੁ ਚਸਾ ਨ ਵਿਛੁੜਾ ਜਨ ਨਾਨਕ ਦਾਸ ਤੁਮਾਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥੪॥ I will now serve You forever, and I shall never be separated from You, even for an instant. Servant Nanak is Your slave, O Beloved Master. ||4|| ਹਉ ਘੋਲੀ ਜੀਉ ਘੋਲਿ ਘੁਮਾਈ ਜਨ ਨਾਨਕ ਦਾਸ ਤੁਮਾਰੇ ਜੀਉ ॥ ਰਹਾਉ ॥੧॥੮॥ I am a sacrifice, my soul is a sacrifice; servant Nanak is Your slave, Lord. ||Pause||1||8||

For more infomation >> Mera Mann Lochey Gur Darshan Tai | Golden Temple Amritsar | HD Kirtan | Amrit Bani - Duration: 13:34.

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The Roots ft. Bilal: "It Ain't Fair" - Duration: 5:34.

For more infomation >> The Roots ft. Bilal: "It Ain't Fair" - Duration: 5:34.

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Evacuating Earth - Duration: 31:00.

So a giant asteroid is heading toward Earth and you need to clear everybody out,

can you do it?

Today we are going to consider ways in which you might evacuate a planet, and we might

as well begin with four notes.

First, how you do it depends entirely on how much time and technology you have.

Second, it's not just about getting folks off a planet, you need some place to take

them.

Third, it's not just about evacuating folks, Earth is more than just people.

And fourth, you also need to ask whether or not you should.

I don't mean whether or not you should just abandon a planet and its people to die, but

rather that in almost every case where you might want to evacuate a planet, you can more

easily prevent or mitigate whatever disaster would have caused the need to leave.

Alternatively you might not have time to evacuate between when you find out about the danger

and when it hits.

As an example, a star might go supernova.

There are no supernova candidates close enough to earth to wipe out all life, but if there

were, you'd only know it had gone supernova for an instant before the killing effects

appeared.

What alerts you to this event is what kills you, no warning.

Only if you had faster than light travel could you detect a supernova and warn people in

time, and if you had years to prepare for the incoming event, you could arrange to put

a shield between you and it.

Some giant gas balloon to absorb it, a heck of a task but nowhere near as hard as evacuating

a full planet's population and ecosystem.

Similarly, the Earth doesn't get hit by big asteroids very frequently, like the one

that ended the dinosaurs 65 million years ago.

The bigger they are the less frequently they come, and there's a roughly inverse relationship

between size and frequency.

It takes a very big one to do enough damage you'd want to evacuate in advance, but if

you can evacuate that means you've got spaceships and you could just drop a big nuke on the

asteroid, blowing it up or nudging it onto a new and safe trajectory.

Even if you have to use several high-yield devices and want to send multiple ships for

redundancy, that's still way easier than moving billions of people on those same spaceships.

That's all assuming you've got some place to move them to.

Though the good news is that if you have the ability to have made some other place livable

for humans you do have the potential ability to move them there.

Even if we had a billion rockets to launch everyone into space right now, without some

place to send them that launch is rather pointless.

That raises the triage issue because we often look at making some bunker to move people

into during such a disaster, and doing that here on Earth, but we could potentially move

some folks to a hastily built moonbase instead.

How you pick those allegedly lucky people is something that's very popular to look

at in fiction and we'll consider it today too, and draw different conclusions I suspect.

For my part I'm not quite sure why everyone always figures you'd want to make sure you

got your scientists off planet or into the bunker, that's always struck me as missing

a key point but we'll get to that in a bit.

In such triage disaster stories, which are older than history, you have to remember you

are not just needing to save humans.

Noah had to bring along 2 of every animal, and we have quite a few parallel tales out

of antiquity.

That's a little more daunting of a task viewed in the light of how many species of

animals, and plants, we know of nowadays, especially since outside of a flood you need

to bring along the oceanic critters too, but amusingly this is actually easier for us in

modern times, since you could potentially carry all that in one briefcase, more on that

in a bit too.

Returning to our fourth point, about whether or not evacuation is the best path, we'd

need to know what the scenario is.

The best known being the Supernova and the Asteroid but there are plenty more.

Most of them do actually have this same problem though, where evacuation is either not the

best approach because you can prevent the disaster more easily or just can't know

about it in time to act.

For example, in an alien invasion scenario, building warships might be more effective

than building refugee ships, even though they'd probably get wrecked by an invader, because

the problem with evacuating against an intelligent rather than natural disaster is that when

they're done obliterating your planet they can pursue the survivors.

As a rule, asteroids don't get back up to chase fleeing ships.

It's an amusing aspect about the difficulties of hiding things in space that the most covert

way to send ships out is to send them in the general direction of the oncoming enemy, since

you can at least point the engine away from them, since that's the easiest part to detect

and use to determine their vector.

If you send a bunch of scouts out that double as colony ships, spread over a wide angle,

the ones that do get intercepted at least give you intelligence on who is approaching

from what angle and how many of them there are.

Also, unlike our intuition from down on the ground, it's actually way harder to chase

someone fleeing generally toward you than away from you since you have to stop and turn

around, which takes huge amounts of time and energy, whereas someone fleeing away from

you only requires you to tell part of your fleet not to slow down and to alter their

heading a bit.

Space combat is often rather counter-intuitive, as we saw in the Space Warfare episode, and

interstellar conflicts more so, as we'll see in the Interstellar Warfare episode next

month.

Another popular one is that a black hole hits the planet or get made in a lab and starts

eating it.

If an actual stellar mass black hole comes coasting into our system, and they often do,

since they frequently get ejected at high speed from where they were made, there's

not much you can do but evacuate.

That's insanely improbable, space is huge and black holes are very uncommon, and the

odds of one entering our solar system on a direct path for Earth is ridiculously slim,

but they don't have to hit us to wreck the solar system or to chuck Earth right out of

the solar system.

We'll save that case as an actual example of an evacuation, since moving your entire

planet through interstellar space if your star is getting ready to die is one approach

you can use.

The one made in a lab though is not really a case for concern.

You could hypothetically make a black hole in a lab, the most frequent method proposed

is a Kugelblitz black hole, something we've discussed a lot as a possible type of powerplant

or spaceship engine.

Those who remember that discussion know that small black holes don't live long, and are

so tiny it's nigh impossible to stuff matter into them, exactly backwards of the usual

perception of them chewing everything up.

Most behavior of black holes is strictly theoretical, but if the current preferred theories are

right, a lab-grown black hole would just oscillate through the planet, so small it cheerfully

flew through dense rock without hitting anything, until it died.

Even a decently big one, massing in around a mountain, that someone maybe made in another

system and shot at us, would just fly right through the planet, as it's only as big

as an atomic nuclei but still carrying all that mass and inertia.

It would kill you if hit you, that's a lot of gravity compacted into a tiny spot, but

it would just fly through the planet and continue on its journey,

You need a rather massive one without much speed relative to the planet for it to be

able to get stuck down in the core and start chewing on things, and I don't think we

actually have to worry about scientists accidentally crunching an entire moon into a black hole

on Earth's surface.

Moons are terribly hard to get into a laboratory.

Depending on the size of the black hole, if you just teleported one in there, you could

either all be killed 20 milliseconds later when its gravity, which travels at lightspeed,

reaches the surface of the planet and shreds everyone from tidal forces, or it could sit

there for millions of year slowly chewing up matter.

There are very compact and small artificial ones, as mentioned, that are actually quite

hard to stuff matter into faster than they spew hawking radiation out, which at just

the right size would create an equal outward pressure causing nothing to happen.

That is an example of when you might have a doomed planet you can do nothing about but

have plenty of time to prepare for, even if it is absurdly improbable.

And that's a key point, because again in most of these scenarios if you've got time

to evacuate and the capacity to do so, you typically have the ability to prevent or otherwise

remedy the disaster you are facing.

Someone lets loose a virus or organism that is killing off your ecosystem so you need

to find a new planet and terraform it, sounds good but it's a lot easier to dome over

and sterilize some places to be safe from it.

At which point you can sterilize your planet and re-terraform it rather than do that for

another planet.

And if you can't isolate the organism to prevent it getting into your domes, I'm

not quite sure how'd you isolate it from getting into your spaceships and terraforming

equipment and just infecting that new planet.

Now the episode is about evacuating the planet, any planet not just Earth, though that's

our main focus, and I wouldn't consider it much of an evacuation if you're only

getting off a tiny seed to plant elsewhere.

If a hurricane hits some city, we don't evacuate it by grabbing one busload of breeding

age residents.

Still, let's discuss that scenario and triage.

You've got a bunker that will survive the impact or a spaceship that can carry off some

folks to a moonbase or space station.

Fair enough and it's better than nothing, but for some reason folks always want to fill

these with 'our best and brightest'.

Which makes sense but the criteria seems a bit weird if it's including Nobel-prize

winning theoretical scientists, which for some reason seems to be the folks nobody argues

about.

Maybe because it's science fiction so folks just figure the science is important.

Refugees don't need theoreticians, you won't be getting any new science done for many generations

and they'll need to relearn it from books anyway, which take up a lot less resources

and space, especially digitized.

You also probably don't need to keep such projects secret, I'm sure you would get

a fair number of folks turned nihilistic and causing problems but I don't think it would

be as bad as we often see in films about such impending disasters.

Anyway even despotic governments tend to leak secrets like a sieve and your typical democracy

is so bad at keeping things like that quiet I'd be impressed if they managed to keep

it hushed for more than a few days.

So you might as well take advantage of the options presented by an informed public to

build bigger and better ships or bunkers because it's not like you'd have a choice.

Any form of evacuation or bunkering up is going to involve a lot of hard choices of

course, it is fundamentally a type of triage.

You have to figure out what you can do before deciding what you can include.

Ideally you want a nice fortified and well-stocked fallout shelter in your basement, complete

with copies of important reference texts, but if you've got an hour to prepare for

a nuclear war, building bookshelves down in your basement isn't a good use of time.

How do you pick people?

Lotteries are a popular option but have always struck me as a bit cowardly, just a way to

alleviate guilt at having to come up with a selection method and apply it, so you can

tell people who don't get into the bunker "Fate screwed you, not me".

One modern advantage we do have though is that we don't have to select people for

their genetics or romantic preference because we don't have to rely on traditional means

of repopulation.

By default, under that, you want as a big and healthy a genetic pool as you can and

preferably with most kids having half rather than full-blooded siblings.

We can artificially inseminate women or even implant fertilized embryos of folks who aren't

going into the bunker.

So you are probably more interested in parenting skills of a person than if they've got good

genes.

Romantic preferences or genetic defects cease being a vital consideration.

You still have plenty of others, and expertise in a given field is never going to be the

sole criteria.

You want to know what other skills they have, their age matters too, what if they are married,

are you looking at their spouse's skills as they are essentially a package, what about

their kids?

You have to include families, not just because you need them but because the end of the world

is going to be rough on anyone's mind - unless they're a sociopath maybe but I don't

think you want to repopulate off a bunker full of sociopaths - and making someone face

doomsday with their spouse or children left outside is likely to result in folks so consumed

by grief they can't function.

It's not a choice I'd ever want to make, so I don't know what criteria I'd design

if it were up to me, but feel free to discuss in the comments section below.

I'd be curious what folks come up with.

Of course it also depends on how long you need to bunker up and what you're bunkering

up against.

If you've got to last a century your profile looks a lot different then if it's just a

few years, you're not selecting in the former for parenting skills because you aren't

repopulating off those initial people, just maintaining, it will be their great-grandchildren

doing the repopulating.

We're not stocking a bunker on Earth of course, but one built here is going to be

a good place to ride out any disaster that doesn't kill the whole planet, easier to

rebuild out of bunkers here than on the Moons or Mars, even ignoring that building and stocking

those bunkers here is much easier.

So there's a lot of levels to evacuation and what you can do relies as much on your

technology and preparation times as what the specific threat is.

To answer the obvious question though, yes we could get enough people off Earth to the

Moon with modern technology in a fashion that would probably let them survive.

Saving our records and even our ecology is ironically now the easiest part of that endeavor,

it's not Noah's cargo that you need a big ship to preserve nowadays, it's enough

equipment to support Noah's family to preserve some working intelligence to revive stuff

later on.

We can actually store DNA digitally and print the stuff these days, and frozen embryos don't

take up much room, nor is that hard to keep them frozen on the moon.

So even if a species does go extinct in such a disaster, you have a chance to bring it

back, if you have the DNA, sort of like in Jurassic Park, which is our Audible Book of

the Month.

We'll be examining how you go about resurrecting species, even if you don't have their complete

DNA, in two weeks, along with examining some of the concepts from that novel.

Needless to say, digital copies of all our history, art, and literature, even including

many redundant backups and a lot of material that probably isn't vital to humanity's

continuance, won't take up much space.

Fundamentally the challenge there is making sure you have a self-sustaining colony or

base, everything else is the same as setting up a normal off-world colony except there's

no one to call on from home for help with problems or resupply or rescue.

All the stuff you need to revive humanity, our civilization, and Earth's ecosystem

though is pretty easy to pack along.

It would be a heck of challenge to set up a Moon or Mars base and one big enough to

be self-sustaining, but if it is priority #1 for the entire planet, or even just one

large nation, it's probably doable even amid the chaos and economic collapses you'd

expect to be going on.

Remember NASA's budget runs about one-thousandth of the US GDP, and we rarely bulk produce

the stuff it needs and try to gold-plate everything.

In a scenario like this you aren't building one or two of something, you're milling

out thousands of them, and you don't care if 1 in 10 explodes on the pad if it lets

you produce twice as many with the same efforts.

I would not want to place a wager on their success with such a venture, trying to get

a Moonbase for hundreds of people ready in maybe a couple years, designed so that they

could support themselves and repair and expand it too, but I wouldn't call it hopeless

odds either, and it's not like you have anything to lose by trying.

As technology improves this gets easier and you can get more ambitious too, but I would

say this is the last century where humanity faces any risk of extinction by a non-intelligent

agency.

We've only just gotten into the game, so our current hand happens to be rather poor,

but we are at least in the game nowadays, we'd have a chance of salvaging our civilization

even if the planet was going to be destroyed, if we had some forewarning.

Jump ahead in time maybe even just a few decades and extinction from any sort of natural disaster

should be off the table.

As I said though, an evacuation is not the same as evading extinction.

The goal of an evacuation is to get at least a large percentage of your people out of any

area safely, and preferably all of them and their stuff too.

So what would it take to achieve that?

What technologies would we need to evacuate every single person, or nearly so, along with

a lot of our most prized trinkets and living rather than frozen samples of our ecology?

Now if your civilization is big enough, like if you lived inside a Dyson swarm, evacuation

is easy enough, such a civilization wouldn't notice or be hampered by several billion refugees

anymore than the a major modern nation would be by a single person.

They've got billions of ships lying around, actually they probably build that many every

day, and their challenges aren't getting people off and housed, but how to cram the

pyramids into a bulk cargo lifter and which habitats are offering to store them.

At that scale you aren't trying to rescue the people, you're trying to figure out

how to peel chunks of the planet's crust off and stick them in some ring habitat without

wrecking them in the process by keeping the gravity pointing in about the right direction

and strength.

I'll come back to that in a bit.

Also if you are surprised I'm suggesting wholesale transport of entire strips of the

planet's surface, welcome to SFIA, since this is obviously your first visit here.

We don't really know the meaning of over the top.

As is often the case though the hidden problem here is actually heat.

If you want to get everybody off a planet in, say, a month, that would mean transporting

a couple hundred million people a day, not even including any other cargo.

You might have a near endless supply of spaceships, most of which are probably not designed for

landing on planets either, but the sheer heat of all those things undergoing re-entry and

then blowing out millions of tons of superhot propellant to get back to orbit might kill

everyone from the sheer heat they give off.

To avoid that, and the problem that most of those ships probably aren't meant for landing

on planets or leaving them, you need to be employing one of the options we looked at

in the Upward Bound series last year, Space Elevators or Skyhook and mass driver combinations,

or preferably Orbital rings.

The good news is anybody with an existing fleet big enough to move a planetary population

probably has those already.

Now, you don't necessarily need a huge ship either, again it bears a lot of similarities

to the concepts and technologies you need for normal space colonization.

Humans have a volume of considerably less than a cubic meter, our density is just a

bit less than water and water is 1 kilogram per liter or 1000 kilograms per cubic meter.

So you could potentially pack a dozen or more people into a cubic meter, at least if you've

got a chainsaw on hand.

But if we had the technology to freeze people, or rather to unfreeze and revive them, you

could presumably put people into pods of about that volume, a couple meters long but not

a meter wide and tall, in fact your typical casket is about a cubic meter.

So you'd need a ship that could store 7.6 billion people at the moment, and at cubic

meter each that is a cube just under 2 kilometers on a side or 1.2 miles, and massing at least

8 billion tons.

Which is huge and massive but actually a bit smaller and lighter than the colonial arkship

Unity we discussed in the various interstellar travel and colonization episodes.

It's also on size and mass range with a lot of habitats we discuss building in other

episodes, and I mean modest ones like O'Neill cylinders not the actual megastructures like

Bishops Rings, Banks Orbitals, or Mega Earths.

So when your civilization is at the point that it can build stuff like an O'neill

cylinder it is at the stage where it can evacuate the whole planetary population, if you stick

people into cryo or some other stasis.

You wouldn't have to build much bigger to include everyone's pets and most priceless

heirlooms, and the ecosystem preservation is easier.

There may be a million species but only a small percent of that are large creatures,

you don't need a lot of space for a sack of redwood seeds or frozen ants or bacteria.

For most of the larger critters you do need parents even if you've got artificial wombs

to gestate embryos in, but not a lot.

You don't need a thousand frozen elephants, just frozen embryos to implant in a few, there's

no genetic bottlenecking if the mother isn't related to the infants she's bearing and

raising nor they to each other.

Of course carting a blue whale into orbit is likely to be an interesting exercise but

by mass and volume they are only the equivalent of a couple thousands humans and you need

storage for 7 billion.

Needless to say you don't freeze everyone, the unfrozen, as many as you can support,

are going to be busy building up support structure and habitats so we can start unfreezing people

and organisms, the former of whom will go right to work building more structure and

habitats.

By the way, if you're curious, the total biomass of Earth is somewhere in the trillions

of tons region, nobody's got a terribly good estimate on the actual wet weight of

all total life forms but it should be on an order of about 1000 times what humanity is,

so if you wanted to rescue every organism, not just the species, your big frozen corpse

cube needs to be about ten times wider.

If the mega-freezer seems too big you can also just decapitate everyone, we normally

only freeze the heads these days, and generally speaking the tech needed to revive people

is pretty much the same needed to regrow bodies anyway.

This is the first state at which I'd say you could rescue all the people on Earth,

and it does require a pretty bulky orbital ring to pull it off fast, and obviously the

technology to revive people from cryo, but I would guess on both being on the table before

this century is out, the latter is actually harder, but you technically only need the

technology to safely freeze those folks, and that would be an example where you'd want

your scientists in that field to be among the best and brightest you saved, or in this

case, did not turn into a popsicle.

You can't store people indefinitely in cryo, though we don't know for how long yet and

it would depend on your technology, so building places to put them and feed them when you

revive them and making sure you have the tech to do so is obviously your focus after that.

Another possible route is to abandon biology altogether, as we discussed in the Hidden

Aliens episode, if you have managed to figure out how to scan and upload minds to live digitally,

storage of those minds is actually not a big issue.

As we discussed with mind backups in Digital Death some months back, we don't know quite

how much memory is needed to store a brain, but the lower end values make it in the affordable

zone with modern tech, and even the high-end estimates were viable.

I discourage folks from assuming computers and all their associated components will just

keep getting better at an exponential rate but I'd feel pretty comfortable assuming

in a few decades we could do at least an order of magnitude or two better and that ought

to be more than enough to cram everybody's brain on a hard drive a lot more compact than

a frozen body, or even a head.

That's assuming commercial hard drives, we can store data a lot more compact than

that already, but for this kind of operation cheap bulk production is the important part.

Those are the early, cheap and dirty ways to evacuate a planet, and again I'd be rather

surprised if that was outside our ability going into the 22nd century, there are quite

a few other options if one or more of those techs turns out to be way harder than we think,

but that strikes me as the most plausible route.

Going further into the future, if you want to avoid digital uploading, the key thing

is having places to put people that can support them that already exist and can rapidly expand

their hydroponics and air and water recycling.

Keep going further ahead and people probably will be talking not about evacuating the people

from the planet but the planet from the planet.

It's an insane exercise in energy expenditure to try lifting up a few square kilometers

of forest along with the dirt the roots are in.

You'd need to dome over and under and on the sides like a big terrarium then lift that

that thing into orbit, probably on huge super strong tethers between orbital rings since

the heat released by whatever megarockets you were using would roast everything nearby,

yet the actual big trick is maintaining gravity in that area.

As you lift it up into space, though not into orbit, gravity will drop a little from the

altitude, but it would cease entirely if you were orbiting of course.

Then you need to take those tethers and swing the chunk of landscape in a circle to provide

centrifugal spin, which the tethers can handle since it's the exact same force gravity

was previously exerting on them.

Trying to do that while keeping apparent gravity at about the same strength and direction is

probably not going to work too well but you ought to be able to do it without everything

falling over or flying sideways.

I'd say it's more trouble than it's worth but if your civilization is actually

doing this in the first place you've probably got very different relative values, and we

have gone to some pretty extreme lengths to move large bulky human relics around safely.

Obviously a lot easier if you've got access to something like artificial gravity but as

usual I'm trying to limit us to options inside known science, or at least not banned

by it, even if that means rather extreme things in terms of size and manpower.

Of course you might decide you just want to move the whole planet, and that is doable.

We've discussed some of the techniques before and will probably do an episode on moving

planets in the future, but the big one is that same acceleration and gravity issue once

you start applying thrust.

Lighting the planet so it doesn't freeze if you need to move far from the Sun, potentially

through interstellar space, is actually not a big concern in terms of equipment or energy

compared to what's needed to get the planet moving.

The issue is that a planet, especially the biosphere, isn't really well suited for

rapid acceleration, which as Einstein told us is effectively the same as gravity.

Move some people on a platform at maybe a tenth of gee and they'll notice it but be

fine, move an ocean like that and walls of water are going to hit your coasts and stay

there till you stop.

This is what causes our tides after all.

Now the force exerted by the moon on the earth is probably reasonably safe to use and maybe

a bit higher, so I will say 10 microgees or .1 millimeter per second per second.

Doesn't sound like much, and it really isn't, it would take 3 hours to get up walking speed

and a thousand years of continuous acceleration to get up to 10% of light speed, probably

about as fast as you'd ever want to move a planet even if you wrapped it around in

shielding and point defenses systems to deal with cosmic radiation and collisions.

The amount of energy needed to move the planet is vastly larger than what you need to light

it if you could no longer use the Sun, unless you are going a lot slower, making the trip

to a new solar system take a million years rather than a few thousand.

You'd probably push it up to speed with lasers powered by the sun and down with lasers

some colony fleet had built at the destination, with some very shiny mirror sphere around

the planet, but alternatively you could build a thick walled sphere around the planet to

fill with fusion fuel and provide shielding.

Hollow spheres exert no net gravity on things inside them so it can be as massive as you

need without bothering Earth, though you would need to use a lot of active support to keep

that sphere a sphere and transmit that pushing force around evenly.

But that's your final option if you want to evacuate the whole planet in a very literal

sense, just pack up and move to another solar system.

Everything we discussed today is pretty extreme, even if the degree of difficulty between the

options is immense, mountains next to mole hills, but is inside the realms of known science,

obviously other technologies might make it much easier, but we can see that as immense

as the task is, it is actually doable, you can evacuate Earth if you need to.

Next week we will be looking at various cosmological theories for the Fate of the Universe, from

Heat Death to the Big Rip or Big Crunch and many others.

As it's a longer topic we will be doing a two parter and will be joined by Astrophysicist

Paul Sutter, with part two over on his channel immediately following part one.

The week after that we will explore the notion of resurrecting dead species and some novel

approaches to ecological preservation.

For alerts when those and other episodes come out, make sure to subscribe to the channel.

And if you enjoyed this episode, please hit the like button and share it with others.

You can also support our content over on Patreon.

Until next time, thanks for watching and have a great week!

For more infomation >> Evacuating Earth - Duration: 31:00.

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Training Sparring Partner Silat S.M.I Tasikmalaya - Duration: 4:10.

For more infomation >> Training Sparring Partner Silat S.M.I Tasikmalaya - Duration: 4:10.

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Sajjan Sacha Patshah | Golden Temple Amritsar | Gurbani Kirtan | Shabad Kirtan - Duration: 1:22.

ਸਜਣੁ ਸਚਾ ਪਾਤਿਸਾਹੁ ਸਿਰਿ ਸਾਹਾਂ ਦੈ ਸਾਹੁ ॥ My Friend is the True Supreme King, the King over the heads of kings. ਜਿਸੁ ਪਾਸਿ ਬਹਿਠਿਆ ਸੋਹੀਐ ਸਭਨਾਂ ਦਾ ਵੇਸਾਹੁ ॥੨੨॥ Sitting by His side, we are exalted and beautified; He is the Support of all. ||22||

For more infomation >> Sajjan Sacha Patshah | Golden Temple Amritsar | Gurbani Kirtan | Shabad Kirtan - Duration: 1:22.

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"আঙিনা" (Angina) ।। Bangla Short-Film ।। by HOME BOX PRODUCTION - Duration: 8:49.

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Hilarious Coming Out Story To Catholic Priest - Duration: 6:45.

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3D Integrated Circuits & Graphene To Increase Computing Performance - Duration: 10:54.

Hi, thanks for tuning into Singularity

Prosperity. This video is the fourth in a

multi-part series discussing computing.

In this video, we'll be discussing

computing performance and efficiency, as

well as how the computer industry plans

on maximizing them.

[Music]

The performance of a computer isn't

measured by its speed but by the

operations it can do. Thus, a new unit of

measurement, the flop was introduced. The

number of floating-point operations a

computing device can do per second.

Observing the trend from the 1960s, the

performance of computers has grown 11

orders of magnitude, in other words,

100 billion times. From 1 MegaFLOP, 1

million instructions a second, in 1965 to

just about reaching 100 PetaFLOPs, 100

quadrillion instructions per second, just

in 2016, achieved

by China's supercomputer, the

TaihuLight. To put the scale of that

number in perspective, 100 quadrillion

seconds is approximately 317 million

years. 317 million years ago, Earth was a

giant supercontinent and reptilian life

was just beginning to evolve. It is

expected that the supercomputer industry

will achieve the performance of one

ExaFLOP, one quintillion instructions per

second, by 2020. That's about the same

amount of operations as the grains of

sand on Earth. At an ExaFLOP of

performance, we'll be able to simulate the

human brain on a computer. This increase

in computing performance isn't showing any

signs of slowing down, with ZettaFLOP

performance expected by 2030. Now at this

point, you may be asking: what the limit

on computational operations is? According

to current laws of physics, this could

reach upwards of 1^50 FLOPs

by utilizing a black hole as a

computing device! This may sound absurd,

but in future videos on this channel

will definitely delve into how this

could be possible.

Bringing it back to Earth, let's focus on

some of the revolutionary new ways the

computer industry plans on shifting to

increase compute performance and

efficiency.

[Music]

The computer industry is beginning to

reach an inflection point, where clock

rates are capped and current

implementations of the transistor are

reaching their minimum sizes. The clock

rate is the speed at which the CPU

executes. It is a pulse that is

generated to make sure everything in the

processor is synchronized, and with each

pulse instructions can be executed. Now

clock rates were steadily increasing up

until the early 2000s, from 100 Megahertz

in the early 90s, to 4 Gigahertz by the

early 2000s. That's a 40-fold increase in

the span of a decade, so you may be

wondering why they plateaued afterwards

and haven't recovered since. The answer

is the end of Dennard Scaling. Dennard

Scaling is another law, just like Moore's,

stating that as transistors get smaller

their power density remains constant.

Essentially this meant that as

transistors got smaller, their power

consumption and heat generation would

remain constant or decrease. Once

transistors crossed into the sub-100

nanometer mark, this stopped holding true

and increasing the clock would result in

massive power usage and extreme heat

generation due to the density of

transistors in such close proximity. As

you can see past about 4.5 Gigahertz

on most processors, the power usage

versus clock rate trade-off starts

becoming very unfavourable. Thus, a

collective decision by the industry was

made to stop increasing the clock speed

and focus on adding more transistors as

well as parallel hardware to chips,

making them able to execute more

instructions per clock cycle. Continual

miniaturization of the transistor has

been the current industry go-to solution

for increasing performance and

efficiency. Computing devices are just

beginning to hit 10 nanometers with a

clear runway down to 3 nanometers by

2025.

IBM estimates that scaling from 10 to 5

nanometers will yield, a 40 to 50 percent

boost in performance and a 75 percent

boost in energy efficiency. Following

that, scaling from 10 to 3 nanometers

could potentially yield 60 to 80 percent

gains in performance and 90 to over 100

percent gains in efficiency! However,

within the next decade, based off these

two factors of computing, transistor

miniaturization and clock speeds,

computing performance would stop growing.

While hardware and software parallelism

and optimization are always going to be

ways to continue milking more

performance and efficiency from current

architectures, completely new paradigm

shifts will be needed to continue growth

that follows exponential performance

trend. Before we continue, if you want

more insight into transistor

miniaturization and computing

parallelism, be sure to check out the

previous two videos in this computing

series. Back on topic, the Defence

Advanced Research Projects Agency, DARPA,

seems particularly interested in

investing nearly a quarter of a billion

into the development of 3D integrated

circuits and research into new materials

as the next major paradigm shifts in

computing! The era of Silicon is coming

to an end. There have been and are

multiple research projects studying new

materials that can replace the infamous

silicon semiconductor. Out of these, so

far, most bets are being placed on Carbon.

To be more specific, 1 nanometer thick

Graphene and Carbon Nanotubes, with

Carbon Nanotubes just being Graphene

rolled into a cylinder. The goal is to

use this material to replace every facet

of not only computers but electronics

design as well, from wiring to the chips

themselves. Graphene has an extremely

high thermal and electrical conductivity,

much higher than Silicon, simply put this

means it could handle more heat and use

less power,

meaning the computer industry could

begin following Dennard Scaling once

again. This translates to the ability to

increase clock rates to insane levels,

in the order of Terahertz, allowing

for computers 1000 times faster

than today, and using 1/100 the power!

Earlier in this video, I mentioned that at

1 Exaflop, we'll be able to simulate the

human brain. The human brain however only

uses 20 Watts of power, whereas the

computer we'd used to simulate it would

use power in the order of Megawatts. A

Graphene based computer could bring this

down, in the order of Kilowatts. This

would also translate to consumer devices,

imagine an iPhone with a battery that

could last for a month on a single

charge! Beyond the massive performance

and efficiency increases Graphene brings,

this super material also possesses other

amazing properties, such as it's stronger

than steel strength and flexibility!

These properties will not only shape the

field of computing, but every electronics

based field, such as a new era of sensors

which will allow our devices to become

smarter. Graphene has the ability to

record radiation in Terahertz levels as

well as the unique ability to change its

electrical properties based on smell.

Imagine wearable medical sensors able to

detect the slightest deviances in

heartbeat, phones that could serve as

carbon monoxide alarms, air pollution

integration into Google Maps - the list

can go on and on. The Internet of Things

will also be massively affected by

Graphene, bringing upon the era of

flexible electronics. Imagine digital

clothing, smart walls and windows, phones

that could turn into tablets and more!

The use cases Graphene based

computational devices will open up are

never-ending! The field of nano-

engineering is still in its infancy, but

rapidly developing. As it progresses,

we'll discover more materials and ways

to better utilize Graphene, Carbon

Nanotubes and other Carbon structures.

This channel will definitely be

dedicating many videos to come on nano-

engineering. 3D integrated circuits are

exactly what the name suggests, stacking

layers of transistors above each other

and interconnecting them. While there are

a few approaches research teams are

taking to achieve this, the DARPA funded

Monolithic 3D Circuit-on-Chip program,

has made the most progress.

Nothing has been demoed to the public as

of yet, but some of the performance and

efficiency metrics they've released are

astounding. The results were measured for

a 2D 7 nanometer transistor node

versus a 3D implementation at 7

nanometers, for multiple machine learning

models. As you can see by the results,

the 3D implementation crushed 2D processes,

yielding performance boosts in the order

of 100 times greater! Past machine

learning, here are the performance boosts

over various other compute tasks, such as

PageRank and regression, yielding gains

up to 1,000 times better than 2D

architectures! These gains are both

distributed in terms of energy

efficiency and performance in terms of

execution time. Much of these massive

performance boosts are due to the

demolition of the memory wall. While

computer processing performance has seen

significant gains over the years, the

memory gap has only continued to increase,

by approximately 50% per year, one of the

computers greatest bottlenecks. This is

because accessing memory takes time,

which drastically slows down computer

performance. In some tasks, such as

machine learning, 80 to 90% of the time

is just spent accessing memory. With 3D

integrated circuits, the memory and

compute logic is placed on different

layers, significantly increasing the

memory bandwidth. This is why such

massive gains in performance and

efficiency are seen. Now 3DSoC's are

still Silicon based, meaning heat

dissipation will still be a major issue.

This will only get worse with multiple

stack layers, the current solution like

we do with 2D architectures, is to bring

down clock rates once again, potentially

in the order of 1 to 2 Gigahertz. However,

imagine the insane results that can be

achieved once this technology matures

and is redesigned with Graphene and

Carbon Nanotube based processes. DARPA

expects their first functioning 3D

integrated circuit prototype by 2019.

Up to this point, we've discussed how

computing performance is measured and 2

massive paradigm shifts, the use of new

materials and 3D integrated circuits, to

continue increasing performance and

efficiency.

Now these implementations are still very

much in their development stage, with mass

production for either not expected until

the mid to late 2020s, right on par for

when transistor scaling is expected to

stop. While we are in this transitionary

period, more emphasis is now being

put on hardware and software, maximizing

optimization through parallelism and

other techniques. In terms of hardware

parallelism, elaborating further on what

we discussed about in the previous video

in this series, there are still many

routes that can be taken by the

computing industry to improve

performance: making the pipeline wider, in

other words, superscalar pipelines, making

the instruction pipeline longer by

adding more instruction computation

units, which would allow more

instructions to be done per clock cycle,

more cores, architecture redesigns and

more! Another major hardware topic

we'll be covering in the next video in

this series, and something we momentarily

touched upon earlier, is overcoming the

memory and storage gap. In terms of

software parallelism, the industry is

going through massive changes. Focus on

multi-threading and utilizing hardware

resources is becoming standard in every

industry. Also exemplified by machine

learning, more advanced algorithms,

probabilistic programming languages, new

protocols and more - optimization is

starting to become better and better,

year after year, month after month. These

topics and the evolution of software

itself for topics for future videos,

however there are tons of great creators

on this platform and resources online if

you wish to learn more now. With both

hardware and software,

after years of stagnation, competition is

starting to become much fiercer. The

driving force of innovation. This is also

great for us, the consumers, leading to

better products at competitive price

points. Now the majority of our discussions

over the past few videos have solely revolved

around the CPU as the primary computing

device. The CPU is general-purpose, not

designed for a specific task. This is

great for consumer desktops and laptops,

but a huge bottleneck in terms of

computational performance and efficiency.

After covering solutions to decreasing

the memory gap, the following videos will

be on GPUs, FPGAs and

application-specific integrated circuits,

ASICs, as the driving force of the

computing industry. Following our

computing hardware videos, we'll focus on

huge paradigm shifts that will shake the

competing industry, on top of the 3D

integrated circuits and new materials we

discussed

in this video. These videos will include:

optical, quantum and bio computers as

well as cloud computing! At this point

the video has come to a conclusion. I'd

like to thank you for taking the time to

watch it, if you enjoyed it consider

supporting me on Patreon to keep this

channel growing and if you want me to

elaborate on any of the topics discussed,

or have any topic suggestions - please

leave them in the comments below.

Consider subscribing for more content,

follow my Medium publication for

accompanying blogs and like my Facebook

page for more bite-sized chunks of

content. This has been Ankur, you've been

watching Singularity Prosperity and I'll

see you again soon!

[Music]

For more infomation >> 3D Integrated Circuits & Graphene To Increase Computing Performance - Duration: 10:54.

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For more infomation >> Comment bien PARIER sur la LIGUE 1 de FOOTBALL ? - Duration: 9:46.

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"There Will Be Blood" — The Ethics of Compensation for Bodily Fluids (Lecture) - Duration: 58:12.

(crowd murmuring)

- To some degree, I feel silly giving Peter

an introduction here at IHS,

because he's done roughly 40 programs with IHS.

We have his book right there on the wall,

as one of our star faculty.

Also, many of you have seen Peter's Learning Liberty videos.

There are tons of them.

I was watching them as an undergraduate,

and those videos ultimately gave me a nudge, if you will,

to work at IHS.

Peter Jaworski teaches Ethics at Georgetown University.

He received his PhD from Bowling Green University

and he also has an M.A. from the University of Waterloo

and a Masters of Science

from the London School of Economics.

He's the co-founder and vice chairman

of the board of directors

at the Institute for Liberal Studies

as well as a recent development,

he's an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute.

So, his talk today will be on There Will Be Blood,

which is such a clever title

and I'm really excited to hear him speak.

Without further adieu, here's Professor Peter Jaworski.

(audience claps)

- Thanks for that introduction, Josh.

Yes, I've had a lot to do with

the Institute for Humane Studies,

and I'm grateful for everything

that the Institute has done for me.

I didn't even need a sandwich to come today,

although I was grateful to see

that I did get a pulled chicken sandwich from Rocklands,

which is delicious.

The Institute for Liberal Studies in Canada

is like a mirror of the IHS in Canada.

That was part of the idea of the IHS.

Okay, so the title of my talk is There Will Be Blood.

It's about the market in blood plasma

with a specific focus on Canada.

I had to make some tough decisions

when I was going through this talk.

I was gonna cover a lot more,

but I decided in the interest of time, to narrow, to tailor,

but I'll mention along the way

what else I prepared and then during the questions session

you can ask me any questions you'd like.

Let me begin, as I do standardly, with this.

There's an almost limitless market

for books about the moral limits of markets.

(sparse laughter)

Okay, lost a few viewers with that.

Just in the last couple of years,

over the last 20 to 30 years,

you've had Michael Walzer's Fears of Justice.

Elizabeth Anderson has this really good book,

Values in Ethics and Economics.

Debra Satz is one of the best,

and her book Why Some Things Should Not Be For Sale

came out before Michael Sandel's book

and is vastly superior to Michael Sandel's book.

Nevertheless, Michael Sandel has the most popular book

on this topic called What Money Can't Buy.

When I give versions of this talk,

when I talk about markets without limits,

it's this book that most people are familiar with,

but our book, the book I wrote with Jason Brennan

called Markets Without Limits, here it is.

It's a response to all of these people,

and in particular, people like Elizabeth Anderson,

Michael Walzer, and Margaret Jane Radin

and a little bit of a response to Michael Sandel, as well,

but he's not the main target

of our response to this literature.

Like I said, that's Margaret Jane Radin

This book, Contested Commodities is also outstanding.

So if you're looking to read views on the other side,

don't read Sandel, read Debra Satz first.

Read Elizabeth Anderson second.

Read Margaret Jane Radin third.

Uh, Michael Walzer, you can read him too

if you do political theory

or if you're in political science.

If you're in political philosophy, you don't have to.

Here's me, by the way, handing a copy

of Markets Without Limits to Michael Sandel.

I gave it to him as a gift.

I did not charge him money for a copy of my book.

Although I think it's perfectly permissible

to charge people for copies of your book.

By the way, Michael Sandel and all the others

think it's perfectly fine to have a market in books

that they themselves write.

So here's the thesis that all of them defend.

Jay and I call it the Repugnant Market Thesis.

We also call it the Anticommodification Thesis.

The claim is that there are some things

that are permissible to have, use, and/or exchange

for free but not for money.

That's what makes this claim interesting rather than banal.

It is not the thesis that there are some things

that money shouldn't buy

because that thesis would be boring, right?

It would be boring for the same reason

that a book about the moral limits of hats would be boring

if it said something like the following.

It established first that lying is morally wrong.

Premise two was lying and wearing a hat is wrong.

Therefore, conclusion, here's a situation

where you shouldn't be wearing a hat.

It follows automatically and boringly.

Similarly in this debate, a lot of people talk about,

for example, slavery and assassination.

But of course those things are wrong

independently of the question of markets and money

and commodification.

It would be wrong to give a gift of slaves to someone.

It would be wrong to shoot a stranger

as a birthday present for someone, right?

Like, oh, happy birthday.

I killed so and so.

That would be wrong too.

It's not that money introduces wrongness

into those kind of exchanges.

It's just that money tags along.

So there's an asymmetry here.

G is permissible, but G plus money is not.

So Jay and I defended this thesis.

There are no things that are permissible

to have, use, and/or exchange for free but not for money.

We claim that there is no such asymmetry.

That money does not introduce wrongness

where none was present.

So all of the things that are moral limits on markets,

as far as Jay and I are concerned

are things that we either shouldn't have in the first place,

or exchange in the first place, right?

That's our claim.

Markets are morally neutral is another way of putting it.

There are at least two different kinds of objections

to markets, in principle and in practice objections.

In principle claim that there's something about markets,

as such that make them incompatible

with certain special goods and services.

In practice objections, or empirical objections

claim that there are certain empirical facts

that make markets the wrong allocative tool

for certain special goods and services.

Now, in my talk today, which is on blood plasma,

I'm gonna focus on these areas, or these objections,

to having a market in blood plasma.

And by a market in blood plasma, I just mean paying people

for donating blood plasma.

First, I'll go through a little bit of history.

Canada specific history,

like why is this issue so hot in Canada?

Because it's extremely hot in Canada,

and not just in Canada, but I think primarily in Canada.

It's much less hot here in the U.S.

If I took a poll of most college students

and asked them do you think it's okay

to pay people for blood plasma,

most American college students would say

yeah that's perfectly fine.

Similarly with sperm and eggs for reproductive gametes.

If I asked American students that question,

most Americans would be like, "oh, yeah, that's fine."

In fact they'd say that's how I paid

for a lot of my college education.

(audience laughs)

But if I asked that question in Canada,

the response would be radically different.

Because not only does Canada (mumbles)

Not only does Canada have an interesting history

when it comes to blood and blood plasma,

but Canada has a pretty fierce kind of opposition

to paying people for blood plasma, despite the fact

that it's legal in at least some provinces.

And over and above that, in addition, it's not legal

to pay people for sperm in Canada.

It's not legal to pay people for eggs in Canada.

Sperm and eggs are part of the things

that we import from you.

It's primarily American sperm that makes Canadian babies

when those Canadian babies are made

through assisted reproduction.

It's kind of, kind of, yeah...

(audience laughs)

- [Male] They never thank us.

- And if I could just say one last thing about sperm,

there used to be a market in sperm,

and plenty of Canadian men that would donate sperm for money

and we had enough men in Canada to supply the need

domestically in Canada.

And then it was made illegal in 1994,

and after it was made illegal,

all of the different sperm clinics closed up,

save for basically one in Toronto

and there are now 30 to 50 men in all of Canada

that donate sperm.

30 to 50 men in all of Canada.

30 to 50 men who donate altruistically,

that is without remuneration.

In my mind, that's worse, but you make your own

(laughter) - judgment about that.

- So let me begin with history,

then I'll cover safety, security

and then the mere commodity objection at the very end

when it comes to blood and plasma.

In the 1980's, Canadians contracted

a number of different diseases because of blood transfusion.

About 30,000 Canadians became infected with Hep C.

About 2,000 Canadians were infected with HIV,

and about 8,000 Canadians died as a result

of the tainted blood transfusions

that they received in the 1980s.

The Canadian Red Cross used to operate

blood donation services in Canada.

They don't any longer and the reason why they don't

is for this reason.

In 1983, it turns out, after the fact,

we discovered, as it were,

that the blood that Canadians were receiving

in transfusions throughout the 80's

came from prisoners in the United States.

In particular, from the Arkansas prison system.

So these prisoners were paid for their blood donations.

That blood would be sent to Canada,

and that blood was transfused into Canadians.

In 1993, the Toronto Hospital for Sick Children

announced that there were 17 cardiac patients

who were HIV positive.

That's 17 children that were diagnosed with HIV

because of the transfusions that they received.

When this event happened, a number of other things happened

pretty quickly, year after year.

So in 1993, Justice Horace Krever,

this is the Krever Inquiry.

He was the Supreme Court Justice.

He launched a blood inquiry into the tainted blood scandal

in the 1980's.

In 1994, very quickly, before the Krever Inquiry

could issue its report, Quebec immediately banned

the private sale of blood and plasma,

so in Quebec, since 1994, it has been illegal

to pay people for blood and for blood plasma,

to compensate people for that.

In 1994, it turned out, via the Krever Inquiry,

that the Red Cross not only used prison blood,

which you could anticipate would be of lower quality,

meaning a higher likelihood of having viruses,

bacteria, et cetera problems, right?

Not only did they use that source for the blood,

but they also knew that some of that blood was infected,

and they transfused perfectly healthy Canadians anyways.

They transfused, they used blood that they knew,

given the testing that they had at the time,

was infected with Hepatitis or HIV.

Nevertheless, they transfused people anyways.

In 1997, the Krever Report came out

and made 50 recommendations

about the blood system in Canada.

Since that Krever Inquiry, everybody in this debate

in Canada cites this as the dominant

and the authoritative document

on how Canada's blood system should be run.

In 1998, the Canadian Blood Services

takes over the blood system from the Canadian Red Cross.

The Canadian Red Cross no longer has any control

over the blood system in Canada,

which is different from here in the U.S.,

where the American Red Cross still collects blood

and blood plasma and platelets and so on.

In 2010, incidentally, the World Health Organization

releases a guide to support 100% voluntary donation

by the year 2020.

So the World Health Organization says that all countries

all over the world should not compensate

donations of blood or blood plasma.

An interesting footnote here,

there are six countries that allow payment for blood plasma.

Amongst them is Germany.

Germany is an interesting case, because they say

that they are fully in compliance

with this voluntary unremunerated blood donation requirement

by the WHO, or suggestion by the WHO,

but they were really clever.

By an act of law, they said if you pay people,

and I can't remember the specific number,

but like $20, that doesn't count as compensation.

So you can pay people up to $20 in Germany,

and that just doesn't count as compensation.

Why doesn't it count as compensation?

Well, because the law books say so.

It'd be interesting if they increase that number

in light of inflation.

Why not $50 or $100 and they just put it into the books.

That's not compensation, ta-dah!

Problem solved.

In 2014, Canadian Plasma Resources, in 2012,

announced that they were going to open up in Canada.

They were going to open up blood plasma clinics

where they were going to compensate people

with a $25 gift card for their plasma donations.

They announced that in 2012.

As soon as they announced that,

they said they were going to open in Ontario.

As soon as they announced it,

a number of different groups stepped up

and said we can't have this.

Don't you remember the Krever Inquiry that's so important?

We can't allow this to happen.

Nevertheless, Canadian Plasma Resources pushed on

and announced the locations

where they were going to open up the clinics.

In what I think is a PR nightmare,

but not a nightmare in any other respect,

the locations for the CPR plasma clinics

included places that were next to,

I think it was a homeless shelter.

Locations that weren't the best.

So they announced two locations.

The Ontario government moved pretty quickly,

and in 2014, they passed the Voluntary Blood Donation Act,

which made it illegal to compensate people for blood plasma.

Canadian Plasma Resources responded by saying,

okay, we can't operate in Ontario.

So what we'll do is we'll move to Alberta.

As soon as they announced that, the Alberta government,

in 2017, now we're talking about very recent times,

banned the payment for plasma

with a Voluntary Blood Donation Act of their own.

Canadian Plasma Resources said okay.

I guess we can't operate in Alberta.

We'll move to British Columbia,

and Saskatchewan and also New Brunswick.

Well, in August of this year,

the British Columbia Health Minister, Adrian Dix,

he says that he doesn't want Pay for Plasma clinics

in the province of British Columbia.

This is, by the way, when this issue, came across my radar.

Since then, I've been doing what I can

to stop the British Columbia government

from passing this legislation, which I think is a nightmare.

It's terrible for patients.

It's terrible for the people who donate blood plasma.

I think it's awful and I think it's bad.

And I'm gonna tell you about that.

These were amongst the list of recommendations

that the Krever Inquiry put forward.

Blood is a public resources.

That was one of the claims in the Krever Inquiry.

I find it strange that people find that appealing.

I kind of think that claim is gross.

No, my blood is mine.

It's not a public resource.

I'm not suggesting that the people who think

that this is true think that,

therefore the government can say,

well, everybody has to give 10 liters of blood per year

and we all have to line up in front of a government office

and once a year, give out 10 liters of blood.

I'm not saying that that follows.

I just think that this claim on its face is gross.

And it's gross in the same way

that if we thought something like giving birth to babies

is a public resource, right?

We don't think that.

We think it's her body, her choice.

I think that applies in the case of blood plasma,

just as surely as it does in the case of pregnancy.

Second requirement, donors should not be paid.

Third, safety of the blood supply system is paramount.

Not important, but paramount.

We are not to compromise on safety

when it comes to the blood system.

Access to blood and blood products

should be free and universal.

I also don't find that appealing.

Other people do.

And then finally, sufficient blood should be collected

so that importation from other countries is unnecessary.

And I'm gonna comment primarily on safety

and the sufficient blood supply.

Part of the arguments for donors should not be paid

is a claim about what gets to count as a commodity,

so I'm gonna say something about that claim, as well.

Now, you'll notice, if you've done background work on this,

that a lot of the recommendations from the Krever Inquiry

follow the recommendations made by Richard Titmuss

in his really famous book, The Gift Relationship,

published in 1970.

This has influenced the debate

on the issue of blood donations

and payment for blood and so on.

It's had an out-sized influence.

It's remarkably influential.

Part of the claims that Titmuss made

is that if you pay for blood,

you are more likely to get lower quality blood

and interestingly, and counterintuitively,

he claimed, somewhat persuasively at the time,

that if you paid people for blood, you'll get less of it.

Now, think about that.

Standard econ textbook stuff says you pay somebody for it,

you get more of it, right, and if you pay them more,

you'll get even more.

There's a one to one monotonic relationship

between those two things, but Titmuss argued, persuasively,

that that's not true.

Consider people who are moved to donate blood

out of the kindness of their hearts.

So they want to do it because they regard it

as their civic responsibility.

For people like that, if you then say,

well, I will pay you $10.

Those people might then think that the signal

that they're sending, the signal of altruism,

that it gets diminished and not boosted.

For economists, it's like, you have two reasons to go now.

One reason is you get paid.

The other reason is you were moved to do so anyways, ta-dah!

It should increase blood donations by a lot.

But instead, Titmuss said that those two motives

might sometimes come into conflict.

Then if we don't pay people enough for their blood donations

to overcome the people that drop out,

because of the altruistic signal is diminished

when you pay people,

then we're gonna get less blood overall.

So those were his claims.

So these are the things that I'll cover.

So that's the history, let's move on to safety.

Now, we're talking about compensating people

for blood plasma donations,

for the purposes of making plasma products.

Protein plasma products.

We're not talking about transfusions.

Those are two separate issues

and it's important to keep those two things separate.

Canada is self-sufficient when it comes to

blood plasma for transfusions.

The tainted blood scandal, that entire crisis,

was about blood plasma and blood collected for transfusions.

It had nothing to do with plasma protein products.

Canada is far from self-sufficient

when it comes to plasma protein products.

In fact, we're about 20% sufficient.

The remainder, we import from the United States.

20% of our intravenous immunoglobulin,

albumin and factor VIII,

we're about 20% sufficient for that.

The rest we have to import from the U.S.

So here's the claim.

We ought to have the safest plasma system possible

for transfusions and plasma protein products.

Paid plasma is less safe than voluntary, unremunerated

plasma donation for transfusions.

Paid plasma is less safe than VUPD, the voluntary one,

for the plasma protein products.

Therefore, we ought not have paid plasma at all, right?

That's the claim.

Well, it turns out that technology

has moved on since the 1980's,

and the relative safety of paid plasma to unpaid plasma

is about the same.

Both of those are just as safe, and part of the reason why

is because of the procedures that paid plasma clinics use

and because of improvements in technology.

So here's a list of, this is from Octapharma.

CSL and all of the other private companies,

GRIFOLS, et cetera, they all use a similar process.

So it begins with a donor selection pool,

and you have to be in good health.

You have to be over 18 years old.

You have to weigh a certain amount, and importantly,

you have to have a social security number,

and you have to have a residence.

And that residence is checked, right?

So right away, a large part of the pool of people

that might want to sell their plasma,

who are homeless, for example,

can't participate in this process.

In addition, all of the addresses are checked

against known transient locations.

I went to a plasma clinic and saw this process in action.

So, right away, that takes care of some of it.

In addition, that plasma that's collected

from your first donation, there's a hold on it

until your second donation.

Some of the viral markers don't show up

until several weeks afterwards,

so the plasma clinics wait

until you make your second donation.

When both of those go through, that is,

when both of those meet the viral marker requirements,

then there's a pause on the entire pool

of blood plasma donated in that clinic during that time

and only if the pool, as a whole,

meets an additional viral marker standard,

will all of that blood plasma be released

in order to be fractionated

into the plasma protein products.

Those are an incredible set of safety steps

and precautions that they take.

Some of the more recent technological changes,

and the one that I want to highlight

is the use of solvents and detergents

that are extremely efficient against HIV,

Hepatitis B and Hepatitis C.

So they use new solvents and detergents.

There's now a pasteurization process

that the plasma goes through.

There's nanofiltration, right,

and there's a low pH treatment, as well.

All of those, combined, have made it

so that safety, in effect, when it comes to

plasma protein products is simply not an issue.

And in fact, Canadian Blood Services themselves

say the plasma industry's experience

over the last three decades, that's 30 years,

shows that drugs made from plasma donated by paid donors

are as safe as those made from plasma

donated by volunteer donors.

CBS says so, and here's the CEO of Canadian Blood Services,

Dr. Graham Sher.

He says, without mincing words,

it is categorically untrue to say, in 2015 or 2016

that plasma protein products from paid donors

are less safe or unsafe.

They are not.

They are as safe as the products that are manufactured

from our, that is Canada's, unremunerated or unpaid donors.

Just as safe.

Health Canada themselves weighed in on the issue.

They said there has not been a single case

of transmission of Hep B, Hep C or HIV

caused by plasma products in Canada

since the introduction of modern manufacturing practices

over 25 years ago, despite the fact

that most of the plasma donors were paid.

An overwhelming majority, in fact, 80% are paid in the U.S.

The Canadian Hemophilia Society says the same thing.

They say look, these products are just as safe

as the unpaid one.

So the conclusion here is that paid plasma is just as safe

as unpaid plasma for purposes of plasma protein products.

And again, I want to reiterate,

this debate is not about plasma for transfusion.

It's plasma for the making of plasma protein products.

However, here's something else that should be considered.

The fact that all of the groups opposing paid plasma

raise safety concerns, all of them, without exception,

talk about the tainted blood scandal.

They raise the concern that there might be safety issues.

That people who use these medicines

might be susceptible to getting HIV, HPV or HCV, right?

Just raising that safety concern, when they know

damn well that it's safe, right?

I think that itself is unethical.

There are plenty of people who need those medicines

and some of them might respond to this by saying,

well, maybe I shouldn't take this albumin.

No, you should, all right.

You should.

You should.

Just as safe.

That was for the people at home.

History and safety, let's talk about security.

Security, I put that in scare quotes

because what we mean when we talk about security

is in fact sufficiency.

So the security of Canada's blood supply

is about having enough blood plasma for purposes

of making plasma protein products.

The claim is we ought to have a sufficient amount

of safe plasma for transfusions

and for plasma protein products.

Paid plasma, like I said at the beginning,

crowds out unpaid plasma.

That's Richard Titmuss's claim.

Given the crowding effect, we will have less plasma overall,

if we pay people.

Therefore, we ought not to have paid plasma.

Well, okay, let's take a look at the empirical data.

In fact, Nico Lacetera at the University of Toronto

and Mario Macis at Johns Hopkins University,

they've done a series of these studies

and they've, unsurprisingly to people in this room,

they found that Richard Titmuss is simply wrong.

So here's a natural field experiment done in Northwest Ohio

in cooperation with the American Red Cross,

and they found that when people were informed of a reward

and the reward differed from $5 to $10 to $15,

more people donated blood.

And what's interesting is that the group of people

who were uninformed of this new reward

that they were introducing, also increased,

and the reason why is because you have network effect.

You don't have to inform everybody.

Somebody's gonna tell their neighbor.

Hey listen, they're giving out $15 T-shirts

or $15 gift cards at the American Red Cross

and more people would come out.

This is 92,000 individuals, just this one alone.

Here's people who previously had donated

at that particular site, even they were encouraged

to donate more the higher the reward was.

The higher the compensation, the more people donated.

And here's people who had not previously donated

at the place.

Similarly, we see even higher numbers amongst those people.

In a separate article, here's incentives

for pro-social activities.

The way that people pay people for things like blood

and blood plasma can be pretty creative.

You don't have to hand them cash.

You could hand them a mug that has a cash value.

You hand them a T-shirt that has a cash value,

but it isn't just hard, cold cash.

You can give people gift cards that are valuable.

And what they found,

unsurprisingly to those of us

who hadn't read Richard Titmuss,

surprisingly to those of us who had,

that every one of these incentives,

from a mug that cost $1.74, up to a jacket that cost $9.50.

As you increase the reward amounts,

so the amount of pro-social activity goes up.

Worried about the quality, like who's giving the blood,

you would expect to see as the reward amount goes up,

you would expect, following Titmuss,

to see a sharp rise in the amount of donors

that have deferred.

A deferred donor is someone

where we don't accept their blood donation.

So we look at you, we do a physical,

then we say, oh, we can't take your blood.

You either fail a demographic test,

or for some other reason, it looks like your blood

is not gonna be healthy enough for us.

But the deferral rates stayed roughly the same.

So you saw an increase in people donating,

the deferral rate remains roughly the same.

A slight change.

Skip that one.

According to Health Canada, in a 2013 backgrounder,

they claim that there's no evidence

that paying plasma donors compromises the safety

or weakens the country's blood donor system.

In the U.S., for example, where here it says 400,

there are now over 500.

I have a long list of them.

There is no crowding effect.

That is, the amount of people that give blood voluntarily

without expecting a payment, has remained similar,

despite the operation of these plasma clinics.

In fact, and it's worth pointing out.

Here's the blood donation rate per 1,000 people.

This is the voluntary, unremunerated blood donation rate

in these various countries.

In Germany, it's 58.1.

They have a pay for plasma clinics.

Austria, where it's also legal to compensate people, 57.5.

The U.S., you all know, plasma can be paid for, 56.9.

Czech Republic, where it's also legal, 39.

Canada, where it's not legal.

Canada, the bastion of all that is good.

The bastion of let's help our neighbors.

That's what you think of Canada, I'm sure.

Justin Trudeau is actually here,

I'm assuming that this is taking time

from your trip to see our prime minister

'cause he's smokin' hot.

(audience laughs)

Canada has a rate lower than all of these countries.

36.6.

Now, there's Canadians watching.

Go donate blood.

You selfish fuckers.

(audience laughs)

The U.S. has 80% of the world's plasma collection clinics

and is responsible for more than 70%

of the entire world's plasma protein products.

The entire world's.

The entire world depends on blood plasma

from U.S. plasma clinics.

That's shocking.

Looking at this issue over time,

the amount of people that need these products

the three that I've mentioned,

Factor VIII, albumin, and intravenous immunoglobulin,

is increasing and it's increasing pretty rapidly.

The number of uses that these medicines are good for

is increasing as well.

There hasn't yet been a finding of one of these drugs

being useful for a disease that covers a lot of people,

but it looks like something might be coming around the pipe.

So albumin, for example, is being tested

for its potential impact on dementia and Alzheimer's.

If that turns out to be a useful drug

in the battle against Alzheimer's and dementia,

then these figures will shoot up.

So of course, Canada imports blood plasma.

Here is the Air Canada plane with your blood plasma.

Conclusion with respect to security.

Paid plasma is the only way of ensuring a sufficient amount

of plasma for plasma protein products.

It really is the only way.

I've seen nothing that suggests otherwise.

In fact, in Canada, the Canadian Blood Services,

they closed down a plasma collection clinic

because there just wasn't enough Canadians

that were willing to voluntarily give up their blood plasma.

Demand for these products is growing,

and it'll continue to grow, so it's morally imperative,

I claim, that we follow a model

that ensures the security of the supply,

not just for Canada, but for the whole world,

which requires compensated donors.

So, that's security, let me move on to the last claim,

which is about the mere commodity thesis.

Here's Nobel Prize winner Al Roth.

Al Roth says we have often found that distaste

for certain kinds of transactions is a real constraint.

Every bit as real as the constraints imposed by technology

or by the requirements of incentives and efficiency.

Oh, my favorite.

Al Gore says markets in kidneys,

you can apply this to blood plasma too,

would make the poor a source of spare parts for the rich.

Here is, in effect, the mere commodity thesis

laid out step by step.

The claim is that blood plasma is not a mere commodity.

It's somehow more special than that.

It's part of us.

It's part of our body.

It's super special.

And if you think that you should regard your body

as a temple, then you will think

that thinking of your blood plasma like a commodity,

like something that you can just sell,

might clash with your moral views.

So to buy or sell plasma necessarily means

that you regard plasma as a mere commodity.

That necessarily part is really vital.

It's really crucial.

It is wrong to regard plasma as a mere commodity.

Therefore, we ought not have paid plasma.

That's the conclusion of that argument.

And here's Michael Sandel.

He says markets don't only allocate goods.

They also express certain attitudes

toward the goods being exchanged.

Markets are a kind of language.

When we buy and sell stuff,

we're communicating something a little bit more

than merely our preferences.

We are, in part, communicating our attitudes

towards the things that we buy and the things that we sell.

What does it take for something to count as a commodity?

So first, there's a denial of subjectivity.

The commodified thing either lacks consciousness,

or is something whose experience and feelings

need not be taken into account.

That's perfectly appropriate when it comes to something

like this cup, with this ice water, which is good.

Because this cup with the ice water has no inside.

It has no perspective on the world.

There is no subjectivity for us to deny.

It's okay to deny its subjectivity.

But it's wrong to do that when it comes to things

like cats or dogs or to people.

Second, instrumentality.

The commodified thing has only or mainly instrumental value

and of course that's okay when it comes to that cup.

But it's not okay when it comes to people

and when it comes to pets and other special things.

And then finally, fungibility.

The commodified thing is replaceable

with money or other objects.

In fact, possessing this fungible object

is the same as possessing money.

So just to remind you, the claim is that

when we put a price on things,

the necessary effect of us doing that

is for people to begin to think of the objects

that have a price tag as a commodity in this sense.

That's the claim.

Now let me ask you.

How many of you have one of these?

Nice and high, hands in the air, please.

Okay.

And how many of you have one of these?

And how many of you have this attitude?

(audience laughs)

towards your cat or dog.

Now let me ask you the following question.

How many of you purchased your cat or dog at a pet store?

What do you have?

What do you have?

- [Audience Member] A cat.

- A cat?

What's your cat's name?

- [Audience Member] Bumblebee.

- What is it?

- [Audience Member] Bumblebee.

- Bumblebee?

Oh, I thought you said baboobie.

(audience laughs)

Bumblebee?

You couldn't give your cat a proper name?

Like Richard?

Richard is a dignified name.

Bumblebee?

This is my cat, by the way.

This is Howard.

(audience laughs)

Howard is a proper name for a cat.

Our other cat is named Winston, which is also a proper name.

This one's name is not Bumblebee.

It's not Boobabee, either.

It has a proper name, Howard.

Also, Howard is a female cat.

(audience laughs)

Don't push your gender norms on my cat.

My cat will be named Howard if she wants to.

(audience laughs)

Bumblebee, how much did you pay for Bumblebee?

- [Audience Member] I don't remember.

Probably close to $100.

- Have you ever taken Bumblebee to the vet?

How old is Bumblebee?

- [Audience Member] Seven?

- Seven years old.

What was the last thing that Bumblebee went to the vet for?

- [Audience Member] Probably just a check up.

- Just a check up?

Has there ever been anything wrong with Bumblebee?

- [Audience Member] No.

- Oh, okay.

- [Audience Member] But there have been annual check ups.

- Okay, okay.

Who else has a cat or a dog?

Yeah, Jean, what do you have?

- [Jean] I have a dog.

- You have a dog.

How did you acquire your dog?

- [Jean] I paid a breeder a few grand for her.

- What's your dog's name?

- [Jean] Moxie.

- Moxie.

How old is Moxie?

- [Jean] A year and a half.

- Oh, Moxie's brand new.

Anybody else get a cat or a dog from a breeder?

What do you have?

- [Audience Member] A dog.

- A dog?

How old is your dog?

- [Audience Member] Eight and a half.

- Eight and a half years old.

How much did you pay the breeder for your dog?

- [Audience Member] Less than a few grand.

(audience laughs)

- What's your dog's name?

- [Audience Member] Brimmy.

- What is it? - [Audience Member] Brimmy.

- Brimmy? With a B?

- [Audience Member] Brimmy, yeah.

- [Audience Member] Good cajun name.

- Oh, okay, good, all right fine.

Brimmy, a good...

Okay, Brimmy, and how old is Brimmy again?

- [Audience Member] Eight and a half.

- Eight and a half?

And how much did you pay?

- You don't remember, but-- - 500.

- About 500 bucks?

Eight and a half.

Have you ever taken Brimmy to the vet?

- [Audience Member] Yes.

- And what's wrong with Brimmy?

- [Audience Member] I hope nothing.

- Oh so Brimmy has never had-- - Allergies, I guess.

- [Audience Member] Hot spots that dogs get

when they scratch out their fur, things like that.

- Oh, no.

Brimmy scratches out his fur?

- [Audience Member] It's common in dogs.

It's like allergy reactions.

- Okay and how much did it cost to take Brimmy to the vet

and to fix this allergy problem?

- [Audience Member] Probably $50.

- $50?

So 10% of the cost of Brimmy?

Question, have you ever considered

replacing eight year old Brimmy

with a brand new $500 Brimmy?

One that isn't broken?

(audience laughs)

One that doesn't have the allergy problem

that you alluded to.

- [Audience Member] Not at all.

- Not at all?

You've never considered?

- You could get like-- - [Audience Member] Maybe if Brimmy were a cat.

(audience laughs)

- What kind of dog is Brimmy?

- [Audience Member] (laughing) He's a corgi.

- Oh, he's a corgi?

(audience laughs)

How is that not like a cat?

(audience laughs)

For purposes of replacement...

I was with you.

- [Audience Member] Corgis are medium dogs, not small dogs.

Only small dog are like cats.

- Medium, so you say. - [Audience Member] Yeah, chihuahuas, you know.

- Look, there's like dogs and then there's rodents...

(audience laughs)

Look at this dog.

(audience laughs)

You could take allergy suffering, broken Brimmy,

get rid of him and replace him

with a brand new model, but you wouldn't?

- [Audience Member] Of course not.

- And why not?

- [Audience Member] Because I love my dog.

- You love your dog? - [Audience Member] I'm like that guy.

- You're like this guy.

You love the dog, despite the fact

that there was a price tag on your dog.

Do you know what I do when my car breaks down?

I look at the cost of repairing the car

and then I think about a replacement.

Do you know what I do when my cats break down?

(audience laughs)

Do you know what my wife does when the cats break down?

(laughing) She does not look at the cost of replacement.

My wife fixes the problem.

And the reason why is because she thinks of the cats

as members of our family.

So do I, actually.

We both think of the cats as members of our family.

Same is true of Brimmy.

Same is true of Moxie.

Same is true of Bumblebee, right?

Even the suggestion that you would replace

Brimmy with a cuter model is funny,

but it's also offensive if I were serious.

You're laughing because you know that I'm not being serious

and this highlights the fact

that there are at least two different senses

of the word commodity.

The first is just anything that is bought

and sold on a market is a commodity, technically speaking.

You put a price tag on it, so you could refer to it

as a commodity if you want to.

But there's a difference between calling something

a commodity and having a commodification

attitude towards that thing.

The commodification attitude is the attitude

where we deny subjectivity, attach merely instrumental value

and regard as perfectly fungible, whatever the object is.

And the point is there is no necessary connection

between putting a price tag on anything

and the commodification attitude.

The fact that you attach a monetary value

to a cat or a dog does not lead anyone

to have a commodification attitude towards them.

In fact, you could empirically test

the thesis that this based on.

By looking at the people who paid for their dogs

and looking at the people who did not.

Who received their dogs as a gift

or went to a shelter and saved a dog,

and then you could ask those people

what their attitudes are towards those dogs.

My prediction, my hypothesis is

that there would be no difference between those two.

The fact that we buy cats and dogs at a pet store

doesn't result in anybody having bad

or the wrong attitudes towards their cats or their dogs.

They are still as likely to think of them

as members of their family.

In fact you can do that with works of art, as well.

Even though museums have a clever name for it.

They call it deaccession when they sell,

which is effectively what they're doing.

When they sell artwork, they don't call it selling artwork,

because that implies that they think of the art

as a mere commodity.

Instead, they use their own fancy name for it,

which is deaccession.

For those of us that are not in the art world,

what they're doing is they're selling art, okay?

For those of you in the art world,

I understand, I understand.

It's not selling, it's deaccession.

People might buy and sell works of art,

and yet many of them have the right attitude

towards that work of art.

Conclusion, there is no necessary connection

between buying and selling anything at all

and any mode of valuation,

including the commodification attitude.

Buying a cat doesn't mean that you have that attitude.

Buying art doesn't mean you have that attitude,

but you might wonder.

This is about the attitude that you and I have

when we walk into the store

or when we walk into the art auction to buy or sell art.

That might be true of us inside,

but consider all of the people

who are watching our attitude.

We might be expressing something offensive to them.

Namely, we might be expressing a bad moral attitude

towards those things.

We might be saying, in effect of our actions,

that we think of that thing as a commodity,

even though inside of our own heads, that's not true.

So paying for plasma, you might think,

expresses the commodification attitude,

even if nobody actually has that attitude.

This expression occurs independently of any attitudes

the buyer or seller may have towards that plasma.

Expressing the commodification attitude is wrong,

therefore, we ought not to have paid plasma.

Let me tell you a story about King Darius,

who ruled the Persian Empire.

King Darius was very curious

about the way different peoples in his kingdom

practiced funerals or had funerals.

And so he said one day, he said,

"my people respect their fathers.

"We all want to publicly signal our respect.

"But the Greeks do different things from the Callatians.

"I will bring them both here

"and I will ask them about their practices."

And so he brought forth the Greeks,

and he said, "Greeks, you respect your fathers."

And the Greeks nodded very quickly.

"Yes of course, King Darius, we respect our fathers."

"Tell me, how do you demonstrate that respect at a funeral?"

And the Greeks sort of looked at each other, confused.

They scratched their heads and they said,

"well, King Darius, duh.

"Why we burn our fathers on a funeral pyre.

"Doesn't everybody?

"Funeral pyres signal, obviously, respect for the dead.

"After all, a funeral pyre releases their souls

"into the afterlife."

Now, you might be thinking to yourself,

because you're not used to this practice,

you might say oh, that's weird.

Why would they burn their dead?

But I'll ask you to just think about the following.

Picture someone that matters to you over here

and they are deceased, I'm sorry to say.

Okay, they are deceased and now picture flames.

And now, put this deceased person on the flames

and what's the first word that pops into your head?

First word.

Just shout it out.

- [Audience Member] Barbecue.

- No, not barbecue.

(audience laughs)

- Cremation. - Huh?

- [Audience Member] Cremation.

- Okay, good, that's like a synonym for this thing.

But surely that's not the first word

that pops into your head.

What's the first word?

Think about it.

Dead body, fire (whispers faintly)

- [Audience Member] Sizzle.

- Awkward, awkward.

(audience laughs)

- [Audience Member] Respect.

- Oh, ding ding ding!

(audience laughs)

Person, fire, respect!

Right?

Obviously?

King Darius pressed on and he asked the Greeks.

He said, "Greeks, would you ever consider

"eating your dead fathers?"

and the Greeks were outraged.

In fact, they were morally offended

and they said to King Darius, they said,

"King Darius, that idea is morally disgusting to us.

"To eat them just would be to disrespect them.

"It would treat them as mere food.

"Do you know what else we eat?

"We eat broccoli and some of us indeed eat peas."

Gross.

(audience laughs)

"It would corrupt the very meaning of funerals."

Okay, King Darius was satisfied with that.

He brought forward the Callatians and he said,

"Callatians, you respect your fathers?"

and the Callatians nodded.

Of course, King Darius, we respect our fathers.

"Tell me," said King Darius,

"how do you demonstrate that respect at a funeral?"

Much like the Greeks before them,

the Callatians sort of scratched their heads.

They were confused and they said, "why, King Darius,

"why, we eat the hearts of our dead fathers.

"Doesn't literally everybody?

"I mean, after all, eating the heart of your father

"signals respect for the dead because after all,

"when you eat your dead father's heart,

"you keep your father with you for all times."

That might also seem like a weird practice to you,

but now I ask you to picture the same thing.

Now you have the heart of someone that matters to you,

and here you are eating the heart of someone

that matters to you.

What is the first word that pops into your head?

- Cannibalism. - Respect.

- Respect!

Obviously, right!

Just picture it.

Heart, eat it, heart.

What other than respect could it mean

for those of you that eat offal.

You know, O-F-F-A-L, right?

When you eat the heart of the cow,

that clearly signals respect for the cow.

Literally.

King Darius pressed on, he said, "Callatians,

"would you ever burn your father on a funeral pyre?"

and the Callatians were outraged.

The Callatians said, "King Darius,

"that idea is repugnant to us, morally repugnant.

"To burn them would be to disrespect them.

"Do you know what else we burn?

"We burn our garbage.

"If we were to burn our dead fathers,

"why we would be treating our dead fathers

"like we treat our garbage.

"It would be to treat them like mere trash.

"It would be corrupt the very meaning of funerals."

I have another example here.

That's the story of King Darius.

This is Ding Ding Mao,

and she's a funeral crier.

She's a professional funeral mourner.

Her job is to attend strangers' funerals

and then to make a big show of it.

To cry about the person that just passed away,

that she doesn't know.

She'll show up at a funeral and be like, oh, Richard.

Howard.

We miss you so much.

And she'll lie down on the floor

and she'll scream about it.

That's her job and she gets paid to do that.

Now people like Michael Sandel would look at that

and say oh my God, that's morally awful.

But in China, it's perfectly appropriate.

It's perfectly okay.

In fact, if you get Ding Ding Mao

to cry at your funeral, that's even more respectful.

That's even more amazing.

There are other cultures where people pay funeral mourners.

Like in Romania.

Like in the United Kingdom.

Other places, besides.

You can get funeral mourners here in the U.S. too.

I looked it up.

It's not that expensive.

Let me kind of illustrate with two more examples.

One is like, what is this?

What is this?

- [Audience Member] Tie.

- This is a tie.

Why am I wearing this tie?

Why am I wearing this?

Is it because it's windy in here?

It's not really, right?

And there are these holes in my shirt

and the tie is perfect for the functional keeping me warm.

Is that what the tie is for?

No?

Why am I wearing this tie?

- [Audience Member] Respect.

- [Audience Member] We decided it looks professional.

- Yeah, sure.

We have an agreement that this is what it is

to look professional and this is supposed to be a signal

of my respect for you.

I didn't go so far to wear dress shoes,

but nevertheless, nevertheless, I wore a tie

to signal my respect for you.

And don't worry, Christie, I won't do this at the meeting,

but I have one last symbol to share with you.

This is about respect, but what does this mean?

(audience laughs)

Marty, what does this mean?

(audience laughs)

Is this the first time you've ever seen this?

- [Audience Member] It's not respect.

- That's correct.

This is not respect, but what does this mean?

- [Audience Member] Screw you.

(audience laughs)

- I don't know if it means screw you.

I think there's a more specific...

(audience laughs) - word for this.

- I think some of the people in this room

know exactly what this means.

This is your opportunity to say it.

(audience laughs)

(humming)

Look, it's your time for questions and answers.

- We're bleeding through here. - [Audience Member] "Fuck you."

- Use the microphone please.

(audience laughs)

- [Audience Member] It means "fuck you."

- Correct!

This means fuck you, right?

Does it have to?

Picture this.

We've never used the middle finger before.

It's way back in the day and somebody offends you

and you really want to tell them fuck you.

Now take a look at your hands

and tell me which is the most natural digit

to communicate fuck you?

Is it really this one?

Does that make sense to you?

No, it could've been other ones.

This doesn't have to mean fuck you.

This is merely a convention.

Of course in places where this is understood

as standing in for fuck you shouldn't do that,

but notice that we can change the convention.

We can make this mean something other than fuck you.

We could make this mean thank you and I respect you.

We could.

We could have a private convention.

We could test it right here and now.

Like, Nigel.

(audience laughs)

- [Audience Member] Fuck you so much.

- Oh, what is the appropriate response for this?

(audience laughs)

That's right.

None of these meanings are written

into the fabric of the universe.

There's something else.

So you can look at two different worlds.

Compare these two worlds and you tell me

which one is the morally good one

and which is the morally bad one.

Here's our earth and we make wedding speeches.

We write them ourselves, right?

We buy birthday presents.

That's not immoral, that's not wrong.

We buy flowers as gifts

and we buy dinner on Valentine's Day.

Now imagine Twin America with different conventions.

Different customs.

There, they pay for wedding speeches.

They make birthday presents.

They grow flowers as gifts.

And they make dinner on Valentine's Day.

Here, they use the middle finger to mean fuck you.

There, they use the thumb to mean fuck you.

Which of these two worlds is the morally good

and which is the morally bad one?

Answer, neither, right?

It's a mere convention.

There is nothing between these two worlds

that makes the one morally good

and the other morally bad.

And you can picture Michael Sandel.

On our world, he says things

like some people buy wedding speeches, can you believe it?

Don't they know how disrespectful that is?

Or you can imagine twin Sandel on Twin Earth

at Twin Harvard, good reference here.

Saying some people write their own wedding speeches.

Can you believe it?

Don't they know how this is disrespectful?

If you care about someone, you're gonna hire a professional.

You don't get Jimmy down the block

to take your wedding photos.

Why would you, like an idiot, write your own wedding speech?

Hire a professional if you care about that person.

You can picture the reasoning.

And the point here is that

the meaning of market transactions,

whether they signal the commodification attitude or not,

is a mere convention.

It's not written into the fabric

of what a market exchange is.

It's a contingent fact.

It is nothing but a mere convention.

It's not immoral for us to buy and sell plasma.

At best, it might be bad manners,

but given what I've said about the importance

of having a sufficient amount of blood plasma,

I think we need to get over whatever conventions

we think attribute the commodification attitude

to blood plasma.

Now, I've done my best in Canada and elsewhere

to make it plain that we need blood plasma

and we should be paying people in Canada to do it.

Every time I pitched an article in Canada,

I can just talk about blood plasma.

In the U.S., people are really keen

on talking about markets and sperm for some reason,

so I'd include that too.

I wrote one for the USA Today

that started with Don't end NAFTA,

Canada needs your bodily fluids.

Like a Doctor Strangelove reference,

but five hours later, USA Today and their clicking team

or their Twitter team or whatever,

changed the title to Why Canada needs our sperm.

That was a much more effective title

for getting people to click on the link on USA Today.

So that's the mere commodity thesis

and that's the end of my talk.

Thank you very much.

(audience claps)

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