Chủ Nhật, 1 tháng 1, 2017

Waching daily Jan 1 2017

Before hanging your neck, connect up the amp

Carry your strato, play some clapton

N' beat up that student who got a telecaster

Now, let's trip!

To the lovable world

Hah… What an era I've been born into

I mean, Doraemon doesn't exist, there's no pocket either

And idiots won't be cured, unless they die

Whatever, What happens happens

Heaven is calling

The drunken, noisily, staggering, party people (can just) **** off

Why are you hesitating?

Come on, hurry up and turn up the volume, please

Everybody-

Cling, cling to your escapes from reality

Become a loser, and roar, roar

Throw, throw out your ideals

That's just law-evading rock etiquette!

Sink, sink into the very bottom

Degenerate, degenerate into a person unfit for society

And clinch, clinch nothing but own goals

That's just law-evading rock etiquette!

Let's go show off for the whole year~

Omake : Me & My Big Brothers

"Jyushimatsu-nisaa~n"

"Here we go"

For more infomation >> [MMD OSOMATSU-SAN] Dappō Rokku / 脱法ロック / Law-evading Rock (All-Matsu) - Duration: 2:03.

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Brothers in Arms: Road to Hill 30 #16 - Niemców zabija na wieży - Duration: 9:34.

For more infomation >> Brothers in Arms: Road to Hill 30 #16 - Niemców zabija na wieży - Duration: 9:34.

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Child hit by stray bullet on Griffiths Avenue - Duration: 0:48.

ITS RECOVERING.

WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THE

CHILD'S CONDITION?

>> ANN, CAROLYN, A LITTLE

BIT AGO, WE TALKED TO THE

BOY'S FATHE AND HE SAID

THINK THATFULLY HIS SON WILL

BE OKAY.

HE WILL HAVE TO HAVE SURGERY

LATER ON.

THIS IS ONE OF MANY

SHOOTINGS OR SHOOTS FIRED

REPORTS THAT DISPATCH SAID

HAPPENED OVERNIGHT.

THE CHILD WAS HIT IN THE

2200 BLOCK OF GRIFFITHSA.

HIT WHITE BEING LOADED INTO

A CAR SEAT.

ACCORDING TO INVESTIGATOR,

CHILD DID NOT LIVE IN THAT

AREA BUT WE'RE TOLD HE WAS

VISITING.

YOU PROBABLY WANT TO KNOW IF

POLICE HAVE ANY SUSPECTS.

WE'RE TOLD THEY DO NOT.

THEY COULD USE YOUR HELP IF

YOU HAVE ANY INFORMATION

THAT COULD HELP.

For more infomation >> Child hit by stray bullet on Griffiths Avenue - Duration: 0:48.

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Timberman - VI SFIDO! Gioco EPICO! CHALLENGE! - Gameplay ITA / Let's Play - Duration: 2:48.

For more infomation >> Timberman - VI SFIDO! Gioco EPICO! CHALLENGE! - Gameplay ITA / Let's Play - Duration: 2:48.

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Psychothérapie et Islam : Quand consulter un Psy? Un religieux? Dominique THEWISSEN - Duration: 5:07.

For more infomation >> Psychothérapie et Islam : Quand consulter un Psy? Un religieux? Dominique THEWISSEN - Duration: 5:07.

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Guias Angélicos - "2017: O Ano da Propulsão. Um olhar sobre o que está por vir!" - Duration: 8:57.

For more infomation >> Guias Angélicos - "2017: O Ano da Propulsão. Um olhar sobre o que está por vir!" - Duration: 8:57.

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Pokémon Sun And Moon 8.Bölüm Türkçe Altyazı - Duration: 20:45.

For more infomation >> Pokémon Sun And Moon 8.Bölüm Türkçe Altyazı - Duration: 20:45.

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Concierge Collection Rayon from Bamboo Sheet Set - Duration: 8:16.

For more infomation >> Concierge Collection Rayon from Bamboo Sheet Set - Duration: 8:16.

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DocuSign with Azure Active Directory - Duration: 1:46.

For more infomation >> DocuSign with Azure Active Directory - Duration: 1:46.

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Easy Ways To Prevent Cancer Naturally with Foods and Changing Daily Habits - Duration: 13:22.

Easy Ways To Prevent Cancer Naturally with Foods and Changing Daily Habits.

By LifeBuzzFeed.com.

First, the good news: You probably won't get cancer.

That is, if you have a healthy lifestyle.

"As many as 70% of known causes of cancers are avoidable and related to lifestyle," says

Thomas A. Sellers, PhD, associate director for cancer prevention and control at Moffitt

Cancer Center in Tampa.

Diet, exercise, and avoidance of tobacco products are, of course, your first line of defense,

but recent research has uncovered many small, surprising ways you can weave even more disease

prevention into your everyday life.

Try these novel strategies and your risk of cancer could dwindle even more.

Certain cancer-fighting foods and other healthy habits can dramatically lower your cancer

risk

1.

Filter your tap water You'll reduce your exposure to known or suspected

carcinogens and hormone-disrupting chemicals.

A report from the President's Cancer Panel on how to reduce exposure to carcinogens suggests

that home-filtered tap water is a safer bet than bottled water, whose quality often is

not higher—and in some cases is worse—than that of municipal sources, according to a

study by the Environmental Working Group.

(Consumer Reports' top picks for faucet-mounted filters: Culligan, Pur Vertical, and the Brita

OPFF-100.)

Store water in stainless steel or glass to avoid chemical contaminants such as BPA that

can leach from plastic bottles.

2.

Stop topping your tank So say the EPA and the President's Cancer

Panel: Pumping one last squirt of gas into your car after the nozzle clicks off can spill

fuel and foil the pump's vapor recovery system, designed to keep toxic chemicals such as cancer-causing

benzene out of the air, where they can come in contact with your skin or get into your

lungs.

3.

Marinate meat first Processed, charred, and well-done meats can

contain cancer-causing heterocyclic amines, which form when meat is seared at high temperatures,

and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, which get into food when it's charcoal broiled.

"The recommendation to cut down on grilled meat has really solid scientific evidence

behind it," says Cheryl Lyn Walker, PhD, a professor of carcinogenesis at the University

of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center.

If you do grill, add rosemary and thyme to your favorite marinade and soak meat for at

least an hour before cooking.

The antioxidant-rich spices can cut HCAs by as much as 87%, according to research at Kansas

State University.

4.

Caffeinate every day Java lovers who drank 5 or more cups of caffeinated

coffee a day had a 40% decreased risk of brain cancer, compared with people who drank the

least, in a 2010 British study.

A 5-cup-a-day coffee habit reduces risks of oral and throat cancer almost as much.

Researchers credit the caffeine: Decaf had no comparable effect.

But coffee was a more potent protector against these cancers than tea, which the British

researchers said also offered protection against brain cancer.

5.

Water down your risk Drinking plenty of water and other liquids

may reduce the risk of bladder cancer by diluting the concentration of cancer-causing agents

in urine and helping to flush them through the bladder faster.

Drink at least 8 cups of liquid a day, suggests the American Cancer Society.

6.

Load up on green greens Next time you're choosing salad fixings, reach

for the darkest varieties.

The chlorophyll that gives them their color is loaded with magnesium, which some large

studies have found lowers the risk of colon cancer in women.

"Magnesium affects signaling in cells, and without the right amount, cells may do things

like divide and replicate when they shouldn't," says Walker.

Just 1/2 cup of cooked spinach provides 75 mg of magnesium, 20% of the daily value.

7.

Snack on Brazil nuts They're a stellar source of selenium, an antioxidant

that lowers the risk of bladder cancer in women, according to research from Dartmouth

Medical School.

Other studies have found that people with high blood levels of selenium have lower rates

of dying of lung cancer and colorectal cancer.

Researchers think selenium not only protects cells from free radical damage but also may

enhance immune function and suppress formation of blood vessels that nourish tumors.

8.

Burn off your risk Moderate exercise such as brisk walking 2

hours a week cuts risk of breast cancer 18%.

Regular workouts may lower your risks by helping you burn fat, which otherwise produces its

own estrogen, a known contributor to breast cancer.

9.

Skip the dry cleaner A solvent known as perc (short for perchloroethylene)

that's used in traditional dry cleaning may cause liver and kidney cancers and leukemia,

according to an EPA finding backed in early 2010 by the National Academies of Science.

The main dangers are to workers who handle chemicals or treated clothes using older machines,

although experts have not concluded that consumers are also at increased cancer risk.

Less toxic alternatives: Hand-wash clothes with mild soap and air-dry them, spot cleaning

if necessary with white vinegar.

10.

Ask about breast density Women whose mammograms have revealed breast

density readings of 75% or more have a breast cancer risk 4 to 5 times higher than that

of women with low density scores, according to recent research.

One theory is that denser breasts result from higher levels of estrogen—making exercise

particularly important.

"Shrinking your body fat also changes growth factors, signaling proteins such as adipokines

and hormones like insulin in ways that tend to turn off cancer-promoting processes in

cells," Walker says.

11.

Head off cell phone risks Use your cell phone only for short calls or

texts, or use a hands-free device that keeps the phone—and the radio frequency energy

it emits—away from your head.

The point is more to preempt any risk than to protect against a proven danger: Evidence

that cell phones increase brain cancer risk is "neither consistent nor conclusive," says

the President's Cancer Panel report.

But a number of review studies suggest there's a link.

12.

Block cancer with color Choosing your outdoor outfit wisely may help

protect against skin cancer, say Spanish scientists.

In their research, blue and red fabrics offered significantly better protection against the

sun's UV rays than white and yellow ones did.

Don't forget to put on a hat: Though melanoma can appear anywhere on the body, it's more

common in areas the sun hits, and researchers at the University of North Carolina at Chapel

Hill have found that people with melanomas on the scalp or neck die at almost twice the

rate of people with the cancer on other areas of the body.

13.

Pick a doc with a past Experience—lots of it—is critical when

it comes to accurately reading mammograms.

A study from the University of California, San Francisco, found that doctors with at

least 25 years' experience were more accurate at interpreting images and less likely to

give false positives.

Ask about your radiologist's track record.

If she is freshly minted or doesn't check a high volume of mammograms, get a second

read from someone with more mileage.

14.

Eat clean foods The President's Cancer Panel recommends buying

meat free of antibiotics and added hormones, which are suspected of causing endocrine problems,

including cancer.

The report also advises that you purchase produce grown without pesticides and wash

conventionally grown food thoroughly to remove residues.

(The foods with the most pesticides: celery, peaches, strawberries, apples, and blueberries.)

"At least 40 known carcinogens are found in pesticides and we should absolutely try to

reduce exposure," Sellers says.

15.

Do a folic acid check The B vitamin, essential for women who may

become or are pregnant to prevent birth defects, is a double-edged sword when it comes to cancer

risk.

Consuming too much of the synthetic form (not folate, found in leafy green veggies, orange

juice, and other foods) has been linked to increased colon cancer risk, as well as higher

lung cancer and prostate cancer risks.

Rethink your multivitamin, especially if you eat a lot of cereal and fortified foods.

A CDC study discovered that half of supplement users who took supplements with more than

400 mcg of folic acid exceeded 1,000 mcg per day of folic acid.

Most supplements pack 400 mcg.

Individual supplements (of vitamin D and calcium, for instance) may be a smarter choice for

most women who aren't thinking of having kids.

16.

Up your calcium intake Milk's main claim to fame may also help protect

you from colon cancer.

Those who took calcium faithfully for 4 years had a 36% reduction in the development of

new precancerous colon polyps 5 years after the study had ended, revealed Dartmouth Medical

School researchers.

(They tracked 822 people who took either 1,200 mg of calcium every day or a placebo.)

Though the study was not on milk itself, you can get the same amount of calcium in three

8-ounce glasses of fat-free milk, along with an 8-ounce serving of yogurt or a 2- to 3-ounce

serving of low-fat cheese daily.

17.

Commit to whole grains You know whole wheat is better for you than

white bread.

Here's more proof why you should switch once and for all: If you eat a lot of things with

a high glycemic load—a measurement of how quickly food raises your blood sugar—you

may run a higher risk of colorectal cancer than women who eat low-glycemic-load foods,

found a Harvard Medical School study involving 38,000 women.

The problem eats are mostly white: white bread, pasta, potatoes, and sugary pastries.

The low-glycemic-load stuff comes with fiber.

18.

Pay attention to pain If you're experiencing a bloated belly, pelvic

pain, and an urgent need to urinate, see your doctor.

These symptoms may signal ovarian cancer, particularly if they're severe and frequent.

Women and physicians often ignore these symptoms, and that's the very reason that this disease

can be deadly.

When caught early, before cancer has spread outside the ovary, the relative 5-year survival

rate for ovarian cancer is a jaw-dropping 90 to 95%.

19.

Avoid unnecessary scans CT scans are a great diagnostic tool, but

they deliver much more radiation than x-rays and may be overused, says Barton Kamen, MD,

PhD, chief medical officer for the Leukemia & Lymphoma Society.

In fact, researchers suggest that one-third of CT scans could be unnecessary.

High doses of radiation can trigger leukemia, so make sure scans are not repeated if you

see multiple doctors, and ask if another test, such as an ultrasound or MRI, could substitute.

20.

Drop 10 pounds Being overweight or obese accounts for 20%

of all cancer deaths among women and 14% among men, notes the American Cancer Society.

(You're overweight if your body mass index is between 25 and 29.9; you're obese if it's

30 or more.)

Plus, losing excess pounds reduces the body's production of female hormones, which may protect

against breast cancer, endometrial cancer, and ovarian cancer.

Even if you're not technically overweight, gaining just 10 pounds after the age of 30

increases your risk of developing breast, pancreatic, and cervical, among other cancers.

You are watching: Easy Ways To Prevent Cancer Naturally with Foods and Changing Daily Habits.

By LifeBuzzFeed.com.

Please Like and Share this video to friends and family to help people live healthy and

prevent diseases.

And Subscribe our channel for more daily videos.

Share with us your knowledge and what you think about this video.

Thank you for watching.

For more infomation >> Easy Ways To Prevent Cancer Naturally with Foods and Changing Daily Habits - Duration: 13:22.

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Hd Vision Visor - first user opinion. - Duration: 5:25.

Hello!

Today I will test

HD Vision Visor

I bought it recently, becouse I wear eye glasses and I can't wear sun glasses.

So I will test how good it is.

This is Vision Visor

It mounts on the car sunvisor

For the begining I have to take of the protector film.

I'm sure it will get dirty

I paid 25 lei on it.

And I can say it doesn't matter

Ironically, I bought it cheaper from a local store then on ebay .

Ok. Let's test it.

It mounts like this.

It sits unevenly.

Thank you Skoda, for making the visor inclined

I don't know if you see any differences

Ok. First test with the sun.

My first impression : I can't see nothing!

Still nothing...

Let see if it act different on moving

the truth is that with the visor is a little bit darker.

But just that.

My safty belt is on, but the sensor is malfunctioning

i can't see any difference

It seems a little bit darker

but I can't say it is very good.

At the day test I wasn't to happy about it. But at night it worked very good. It protects you from the oncoming traffic lights.

It protects you from the oncoming traffic lights.

For more infomation >> Hd Vision Visor - first user opinion. - Duration: 5:25.

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Black Decker 350Amp Jump Start +Roadside Assistance - Duration: 10:14.

For more infomation >> Black Decker 350Amp Jump Start +Roadside Assistance - Duration: 10:14.

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Bamboo - C@LL - Duration: 4:47.

Ooooh girl You better think twice

You don't know how much I've had to sacrifice

Don't tell me its too late for that compromise

I still got a trick or two

As long as you play nice

Oooh girl What's taking so long

I need an answer now Ooo things are gonna get raw

Everything about us Icing on top

I don't know where I would go You just know how to play me so

Up high Got me hooked on your bad romance

Its got me looking for that off ramp

People talking buzz

Could this be us Could this be us

Call me when you get back you got my number

Call me when you get back pick up that phone

Call me when you get back we got some secrets to share

Call me when you ready lets get lost

Oooh girl

Hey pretty thing you wanna talk control

I'm all signed up just a mere formality

i'm all in (heart ,mind and soul)

I lay down To surrender

To your every whim and need with this vow I pledge to you

Girl you can do as you do as you

Please baby

i'm shooting from my sweet spot

I ain't looking for that drop off

Fool this fool baby

Could this be us

Could this be us

Call me when you get back you got my number

Call me when you get back pick up that phone

Call me when you get back we got some secrets to share

Call me when you ready lets get lost

(is this it)

I keep on coming relentless

That's the game (this is it)

I keep pushing my way in to the point

you feeling hate (this is it)

And I gotcha counting down every second When i'm away

(is this it) You say i'm dreaming girl

Yes that may be the case

Call me when you get back you got my number

Call me when you get back pick up that phone

Call me when you get back we got some secrets to share

Call me when you ready Call me when your ready

Just go

go go

go go

go go

go go

Ooh i feint shudder

To you this love

Like no other

We got something special cooking

Let me introduce you to my lawyers

I feint shudder to you

A love like no other

Yes you can take me and break me you'll learn to love me or hate me

or simply leave and forsake me take a real deep breath before you tell me

I've given up my position All I ask is for your discretion girl

Ooh I feint shudder

to you ooh I feint shudder

I feint shudder

Ooh I feint shudder

For more infomation >> Bamboo - C@LL - Duration: 4:47.

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Logistic Regression in Excel - PrimaXL Tutorial #3 : Confusion Matrix (sub. SPN, KOR) - Duration: 9:08.

Hello! Welcome to a new episode.

Today, we will continue with the topic of the

logistic regression, Part 3 "Confusion Matrix".

In the logistic regression the

dependent variable can only take

values 1 and 0.

Thus, we're talking about a binary

classification problem. Then a question

arises: How do we test the performance of

a binary classification method?

In order to answer this question we'll need the

confusion matrix and other performance

measures, and this is the main subject of

today's video. First let's do a quick

recap of the logistic regression.

When we say "train the regression model" we mean

fitting the regression coefficients with

the training data, then we can apply the

already trained model and calculate the

probability of the dependent variable

having value equal to 1. This is what we

call "forecasting". You can find more

details in the previous episodes on the

logistic regression. As for testing

there's the so-called "In-Sample" testing.

In this case, the testing data set is the

same as the training data set.

The unprimed variables represent the

training set and the primed variables

represent the testing set. The purpose of

the in-sample testing is to check for

the suitability of the regression model.

By the way, there's also the so-called

"Out-of-Sample" testing. In this case, we have

a training data set and a testing data

set which do not overlap with each other.

The propose of the out-of-sample

testing is to generalize the regression model.

OK. Now, it's time to go through

an example on the Excel spreadsheet.

We have this Excel file named "Example_logistic

regression test.xlsx". This is the same data we

had used in the previous two episodes on

the logistic regression. We have three

independent variables X1, X2 and X3 and

one dependent variable Y. We have in

mind the in-sample testing. So, the same

data set is used for training and

testing.

Now, let's do the test using PrimaXL.

We got to the PrimaXL tab, click

on it to bring up its ribbon menu.

Then, we click on the arrow under the button

named "Logistic" and then select "Test".

A menu form appears.

This menu form is quite similar to the

ones we have seen so far. At the top

we should give the cell ranges of the training

data set: both for X and Y. Next, we should

give the cell ranges of the testing set.

However, as we mentioned we will do

in-simple testing. So, we check on this box

which says "Test set is the same as the training set".

---

Finally, we should specify the location

of the result output. Now, there's a very

important detail. Do you see this number

which is labeled "Cutoff". This number gives

the probability threshold.

A forecast probability above this, will be

identified as 1 while below it will be

identified as 0. For the time being

let's just live its value as 0.5.

Let's fill out the rest of the form.

We can click on the small button and bring up

the range input form where we can easily

enter the cell range by selecting.

OK. I think we are ready. Now, just press

the [Run] button.

Excellent! We have the result.

Let's just focus on the result as shown here.

In this result output, there's a

confusion matrix and there are some other

performance measures.

The confusion matrix is a 2 by 2 matrix.

Let's see what each one of these matrix elements means.

This element is called "true positive".

It counts the actual 1s that were

correctly classified. And this element is

called "true negative". It counts the actual 0s

that were correctly classified.

This another element is called "false positive".

It counts the actual 0s that

were misclassified as 1s.

Finally, this element is called "false negative".

It counts the actual 1s that were misclassified as 0s.

Then these are the relevant

measures for the binary classification.

We have the "Sensitivity" which is

calculated as true positive divided by

the sum of the true positive and the

false negative, as we can see here.

We have the "Specificity" which is given by this

formula. "Positive predictive rate",

"Negative predictive rate" and

the "Accuracy" which is probably the most

important performance measure.

Here, its value is 0.74. Its formula says

sum the true positive and the true negative

and divided by the sum of all

the matrix elements. The accuracy is a

very important measure. So let's bring

back the confusion matrix and see where

it comes from. The accuracy measure tells

us how big the diagonal elements are

compared to the rest of the matrix.

OK. A couple of more examples. Back to the same

Excel file we had before, we will just

change the value of the probability cutoff,

and see how it affects the result.

Please, remember that we have a cutoff

equal to 0.5 before. Also remember the

values of the sensitivity, the

specificity and the accuracy.

OK. Let's reset the cutoff to 0.7 and rerun.

Compared to what we had, the sensitivity

decreases while the specificity

increases, and the accuracy remains more

or less the same. Another run.

Let's reset the cutoff to 0.3 and run.

Here, the sensitivity

increases while the specificity

decreases, and there is a slight decrease

in the accuracy.

OK. Finally, a summary. Today we saw how to

test the performance of the binary

classification. We used the in-sample

testing method. We calculated the

confusion matrix and other performance measures.

We could see the dependence on

the probability cutoff. More about this

in the next episode.

In the coming episode, we will try to see

how to "optimize" the binary classification.

And, we'll discuss about

the so-called "ROC curve". Great!

I hope you enjoyed watching this video.

Thank you so much. Until next time, Bye!

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