hi everybody j7409 here with you time to check out the tropical forecast, we're
looking right now of course as you can see this is goes east and it's in the
geo color you can see all these little cloud tops coming off the coast of
Africa but I don't think they're going to materialize into anything not as of
right now anyway as they head over this way and of course
it's kind of hard to see but over in this area this is the United States and
you can see all the cloud tops to the rain that's going to be happening off
and on today up and down from all the way probably Vermont Maine down to
Florida it's hard to believe we have 120 days left of hurricane season this map
shows you a little better you can see the storms coming off of Africa here you
can actually see that how they're building some trying to get a little
stronger over here here's all this rain rain rain and stuff going on other than
that it's out here that we get all the action when it comes to things
developing right now but I wouldn't let my guard down quite yet I have a feeling
that probably by the end of this month we may see something developing over in
our area and neck of the woods I'm not saying it's going to happen I'm just
saying I think there is a good probability of it so let's move right
along and here we have the Saharan dry air mass map in motion it's on the
second of August now it will go through the second but as you see it starts out
on July 31st and moves across now all the little storms that were popping off
going through the monsoon trough as you can see down in this area they are being
affected by this dry air remember me telling you in August coming up now and
a little bit this big blob it should start to disappear
here's the way you measure it you can see it for yourself if it's in the
yellow that is less dry air okay if it gets to the pink that's when it's really
saturated there's not any of that up there now but there is enough of the red
and the orange to have effect on these systems that are coming off the coast of
Africa but as you can see this is beginning to lift and deteriorate
slowly but surely so we're gonna wait and see what happens two or three weeks
from now with these things popping all of Africa what's the sea temperatures
like for today well let's check it all out of kind of zoomed out so you can see
everything going on everywhere let's check off the coast down here where
these little storms keep popping off the coast of Africa and let's see what the
water temp is looking like it's well looking like it's pretty warm at this
point 82 degrees yeah that is enough to make some storms happen that's for sure
and that is moving right on along as you can see as we go up right on into the
Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico and the Gulf temperatures what are they
looking like 88 degrees prime just prime territory for the development of storms
if they come our way and this is going right on my coast also it starts to get
a little cooler as you get up around the DC jersey area it's a little cooler up
here looking like 77 degrees but it could still it could still it could
downgrade something if something were to pop up but they'd probably still get
some effects from a tropical system at least right off of my coast over here
let's see what we got 83 degrees so that's what the water temperatures are
looking like today through the Caribbean off the coast of Africa up into the Gulf
and further up the u.s. coastline now as we check in with the National
Hurricane Center in Miami Florida for the Atlantic and all out in these areas
we have nothing zilch absolutely nothing going on for the next five days in the
eastern North Pacific it's a whole nother story we've got hurricane Hector
out here he turned into a hurricane overnight he was a tropical depression
yesterday and now this morning Hector is a category one with minimum sustained
winds of 85 miles per hour the minimum central pressure is nine hundred and
eighty seven millibars and if you're tracking Hector he's
located at fourteen point two North one twenty four point six West and Hector is
moving west at around 14 miles per hour now we have disturbance number one not
really looking for this to do too much because I think disturbance number two
is going to overtake it but let's check out and see what it says disorganized
showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles southwest of
Mexico it's associated with the tropical way and the environmental conditions
appear marginally conducive for gradual development of the system during the
next few days as it moves generally westward across the tropical eastern
Pacific by early next week proximity hey I was right proximity to the other
low-pressure system could limit other development of this disturbance it has a
10% chance in two days 30% in five days of turning into something now
disturbance number two this is what's going on with it now it's an area of
disturbed weather and it just formed several hundred miles south of the Gulf
of Mexico there and the environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for development and a tropical depression is likely to form early next
week while it moves west and northwest word off the
most of Mexico in two days very low 10% five days very high 80% and I do think
that this will turn into something let's go check out right quick what their
tracking map of Hector is looking like for future days still not real sure
excuse me whether Hector will have a lot of effect on a way or not we see the
Hector is going to turn by Sunday into a major hurricane this was not showing up
yesterday at all it just had it as a hurricane well today it's a whole new
ball of wax folks see how these things go poof below up well it's a major
hurricane by Sunday major hurricane Monday major hurricane Tuesday okay up
in this area we got Hawaii now I'm the cone it's kind of took a
little swivel okay I still think the majority of Hector will go south of
Hawaii we'll have to wait and see what happens we'll go check out something
else right quick okay this is the European model it's set for today around
11 a.m. over here we have the islands of Hawaii okay
here we have Hector blowing around I've got it zoomed down so you can see
everything so let's just go ahead and move it up to around Monday at 7:00 a.m.
and we'll see what happens here's Hector right here here's this other system
that's beginning to form this is Hector so we'll move it up to 1 a.m. Tuesday
the 7th let's see where Hector goes Hector is
still here this other system is still beginning to build we have a big low
pressure off the coast up here let's go to midnight Wednesday let's see if
Hector goes under well it still hasn't got there
let's move on over we need to keep an eye out for our friends over in Hawaii
so we'll go to around Thursday morning which will be the 9th and Hector is
looking like he's going to stay south thank goodness thank you Jesus of the
islands of Hawaii now this can still vary off track a little bit here and
there but I think this is probably what it is going to do mmm
you know they may get some rain and away from it they may not they may get a
little beach erosion they may not we'll have to wait and see but for the
hurricane itself as of today the 2nd of August it's looking like probably it's
going to go south this one's going to form and go off the coast and up and out
then we have this other low up here it still hasn't developed into anything and
rain rain rain still going on from my goodness of Oklahoma air Arkansas
Missouri Tennessee all around in this area right in here
still got the rain coming down and up north also with a system up there and
when it comes to Hector there are no coastal watches or warnings anywhere in
effect right now for Hector this is what I've already told you here the general
motion is expected to continue just like it is for the next few days the maximum
sustained winds have increased to 85 and they have higher gusts okay and the
additional strengthening is forecasted or in the next few days as we saw as
hector turns into a major hurricane as of now hurricane-force winds are
extending outward 15 miles from the center and tropical storm-force winds
extend outward up to 60 miles and there are no hazards affecting land or no
forecast for that at this time so that's a tropical update for today everybody
stays safe I got my eyes on everything you better believe
if I see anything at all I'll put it up I'm still thinking I'm still thinking
around the end of the month there might be a tropical storm threat somewhere
around the panhandle of Florida or Mobile Alabama New Orleans Louisiana
there might be I'm not saying this is going to come true
okay I'm saying there might be and then also the end of the month there may even
be a hurricane threat around Texas I'm not it's not written in stone so don't
go saying but j7 409 said we were going to have a hurricane I said there's it
might happen because the Gulf right now has a lot of things going on for it that
have all the ingredients of anything it all pops up there and with all the
Saharan dry air beginning to thin out and move up and these little systems I
mean they pop off like popcorn every day you saw them it doesn't stop hardly at
all if one of them slips up into that area I have a feeling something may come
of it we'll have to wait and see I hope I'm totally wrong but that's what
I'm thinking so with all they said and done I love
you guys I'll keep my eyes on everything if anything were to develop anywhere
I'll be sure and let you know and if it doesn't well that just means we've been
blessed so with that all said and done thank you so much for watching please
subscribe click the bell make sure you get all the latest and weather news
forecasts watches warnings and tropical weather have yourself a good day a great
day a blessed day thank you so much for watching love you
guys
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