Thứ Tư, 25 tháng 10, 2017

Waching daily Oct 26 2017

Named after a local school known for its liberal education, Jiyugaoka, which stands for "Freedom Hill"

used to be a rural area on the southern end of Meguro, that started to develop in the 1920s after rail services were introduced

and where many artists came and settled to get some peace away from Tokyo's center.

Today, Jiyugaoka is still one of Meguro's most beloved areas not only for it's quite fashionable atmosphere but also for it's many stores and restaurants.

Also, note that Jiyugaoka is a very popular destination for people looking for a fashionable hairdresser.

Indeed it is not rare to see several hair salons all along Jiyugaoka's streets.

For more infomation >> Walking around Jiyugaoka - Tokyo - 自由が丘 - 4K Ultra HD - Duration: 13:33.

-------------------------------------------

COMMENT FAIRE UNE BAGUETTE MAGIQUE ? [DIY] - Duration: 1:21.

For more infomation >> COMMENT FAIRE UNE BAGUETTE MAGIQUE ? [DIY] - Duration: 1:21.

-------------------------------------------

Russian Party Hip Hop Beat 2017 - Duration: 2:07.

For more infomation >> Russian Party Hip Hop Beat 2017 - Duration: 2:07.

-------------------------------------------

Hoa Phai Sắc - ĐạtG x VSOWN - Duration: 3:49.

For more infomation >> Hoa Phai Sắc - ĐạtG x VSOWN - Duration: 3:49.

-------------------------------------------

Danger illegal DRAG BIKE Street Racing 100m - Duration: 3:45.

Danger illegal DRAG BIKE Street Racing 100m

For more infomation >> Danger illegal DRAG BIKE Street Racing 100m - Duration: 3:45.

-------------------------------------------

Disfunción Eréctil Me Quito A Mi Esposa😢👇😴 | Caso Cerrado | Telemundo - Duration: 17:51.

For more infomation >> Disfunción Eréctil Me Quito A Mi Esposa😢👇😴 | Caso Cerrado | Telemundo - Duration: 17:51.

-------------------------------------------

The Predictable Hippie - Duration: 8:38.

Hey people! What's up?! This is Norbert and let's talk about some quantitative stuff.

Do you judge people? Or, at least, are you making some assumptions when you are

are meeting them the first time? Well I guess you do, but let's see how much you do that actually.

I'm going to give you the description of a young lady and I

want you to answer a question concerning her. Okay? Alright, let's do it!

Linda is a 31 year old, single, very bright, outspoken woman. She majored in

philosophy at college and she was very concerned about issues such as

discrimination, equal rights of women, animal welfare, global warming. As a

matter of fact she participated in many demonstrations concerning these issues.

Now, what do you think which is the most likely description of Linda at the very

moment? A) Linda is a driving instructor at the driving school. B) Linda works in a bank.

or C) She works in a bank and she's an active member of a feminist organization.

You know what? Let's ask a few people on the street.

Okay.. Hi.. Hello..

So, Linda is a 31 year old single very bright outspoken woman.... or C) Linda works in a bank and she's an

active member of a feminist organization

-I would say C) -Alright

C)

I think it's C)

I think C)

I have also taken this experiment, this example from the work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky.

They performed this experiment in a more rigorous way but I just wanted to illustrate that almost

all of us fail on this test. You probably did too, because you answered C.

Which must be a wrong answer from the perspective of the question. You see, we have no idea

what's the probability whether she's working in a bank or that she's a

driving instructor. Maybe we could look at national statistics and come up with

some inference based on that data, but we do not care at all. Because what I just

want to show you now, is that whatever the probability that she's working a

bank, denote it B, the probability that she's working the bank and she's an

active member of a feminist organization, denote it BF, that must be smaller,

or equal at maximum, than the probability that she's just simply working in a bank

because this is the same event, but coming with an extra condition which

have to be fulfilled and extra conditions extra criteria, they do not

increase probabilities. They decrease them. Because those extra criteria have

to be fulfilled and it is not certain that will they will be fulfilled. So

chances are decreasing. The simplest possible example I can think of... if I ask

you what is the probability that I throw an even number with a regular die you

are going to answer me 1 over 2, 50%, because half of the events satisfy the

condition. But if I ask you, what is the probability that I throw an even number

with a regular die and this number is greater or equal than... let's say 3, than you

are going to answer me 1 over 3 because only for a number 6 satisfy the

condition. So two valid events, divided by 6, all the possible events which is 2 over 6.

Which equals 1 over 3.

2+2 is 4, minus 1 that's 3, quick math.

-yeah exactly

The thing goes skkrrr

.....

- yeah I know... - you don't know

-okay, then I don't know -brother, let's not make jokes on each other

-okay, just let's continue man.

So 1 over 3, which is a smaller number than 1 over 2. And this is not

surprising, because we have added an extra condition, that the number is

greater or equal than 3; this condition had to be fulfilled so chances are decreased,

probabilities are decreasing. Okay, or if you want to imagine it graphically then

this big set, this is Linda's universe all the possible tuples of events of her

life, all the possible scenarios how her life could be lived. And inside this big

set we have a smaller set B the events, tuples of events, the scenarios where the

condition that she's working at Bank is fulfilled. And then inside B we have BF

an even smaller set, where she's an active member of a feminist organization

and of course she's working a bank which is still fulfilled. But outside BF and

still inside B we have some scenarios, tuples of events, where she's working in a

bank, but she's not a member of feminist organization, so there are more tuples of

events more scenarios where she's working a bank but she's not a part of

feminist organization. So you see why this set is bigger. But by any means,

because BF is a subset of B, then by any definition of metrics, any definition of

probabilities, and most importantly by our intuition, this set must have a

smaller size than the size of the mother set. Okay so I think you get it

now, but why did you fail in the first place, why did all of us fail in the

first place? I think it's because of two reasons. Number one is that your brain

didn't truly interpret the second part of the statement as a condition to be

fulfilled but rather as a detail, as an extra piece of information which made

the story more likely to you, made it stronger.

Because if this actual detail is said fluently enough, then you have the

perception that the storyteller is retreiving it from the memory, so they are

actually now talking about the real event which they have observed. But the

stronger part of the story is that when I provided you the description of Linda

you started to build up a stereotype of her and you were probably seeing this

person, and then you were looking for the answers which correlated this image of

her. And then you saw driving instructor it doesn't really sounds like her,

doesn't resound like her; and then you saw she's working at Bank,

that's pretty much no way because that'sthe perfect opposite of what you

expected. The third statement still involves that she's working a bank, but

the second part of the statement just correlates so strongly with the image of

her that you have to say yes it is C). But that is a wrong answer from the

perspective of the question, because the question asks which is the most likely

event which is the highest probability; and C) must not have. You see our brain

really likes to get details about stories to accept it as something more

likely, but just to illustrate with an edge case that this is not such a good

idea to do it let's just look at this scenario.

-Where have you been, it's 2a.m.??!

-just had a couple of drinks,with the colleagues....so what's the big deal?!

-Don't lie! This is the third time this week.

-I just had a couple of drinks with the colleagues, and on the way home I saw a blue flying elephant ordering pizza at Burger King.

-Okay but next time please send me a text if you come home so late.

-Sure darling, sure!

I assume that we can agree that no sane person would accept that detail as

something which makes the story more likely. And I just wanted to illustrate

it with an edge case that this is not a good idea always to do so... to accept

details as something which makes a story stronger. You know, you may never know

if the extra detail is retreived from the memory or made up on the spot

and if you have no information about the likely... likelihood whether this is made

up or this is retrieved from the memory, then you should think about the fact

that more criteria, or more details, they just make a story less likely not more likely.

I hope you enjoyed this video or at least you have learned a little bit.

If that is the case then please like this video share it and subscribe to my channel!

See you next time!

For more infomation >> The Predictable Hippie - Duration: 8:38.

-------------------------------------------

Scary Pumpkin | Bob The Train | Halloween Videos | Kindergarten Nursery Rhymes For Babies By Kids Tv - Duration: 15:54.

Hey kids!

It's Halloween

And the night is really scary!"

There's a scary pumpkin In the dark dustbin

The moon is turning All white

Who's that spooky girl Behind the flaming skull

The clock is ticking scarily tonight prepare for fright..

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween Stay in the Light

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween It's the zombies' delight

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween What you doing tonight

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween Prepare for Fright

"HAHAHAHAHA"

The fog still lingers You're counting on your fingers

The ghouls behind you Right

The moon's disappeared It's just what you feared...

The undead will rise tonight prepare for Fright..

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween Stay in the Light

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween It's the zombies delight

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween What you doing tonight..

It's Halloween

It's Halloween

It's Halloween Prepare for Fright...

"HAHAHAHAHA"

For more infomation >> Scary Pumpkin | Bob The Train | Halloween Videos | Kindergarten Nursery Rhymes For Babies By Kids Tv - Duration: 15:54.

-------------------------------------------

அருந்ததி குட்டி அனுஷ்கா என்ன செய்கிறார் தெரியுமா ? | Tamil Cinema News | Kollywood News | Tamil News - Duration: 1:28.

For more infomation >> அருந்ததி குட்டி அனுஷ்கா என்ன செய்கிறார் தெரியுமா ? | Tamil Cinema News | Kollywood News | Tamil News - Duration: 1:28.

-------------------------------------------

What You Need To Know About Coming Out - Duration: 5:17.

For more infomation >> What You Need To Know About Coming Out - Duration: 5:17.

-------------------------------------------

ஜாக்குலின் வாழ்க்கையில் நடந்த குறும்பான காதல் அனுபவம் | Tamil Cinema News | Tamil News | Kollywood - Duration: 1:23.

For more infomation >> ஜாக்குலின் வாழ்க்கையில் நடந்த குறும்பான காதல் அனுபவம் | Tamil Cinema News | Tamil News | Kollywood - Duration: 1:23.

-------------------------------------------

Troll Gai Xinh - Thích Quan Hệ Tình Dục kiểu nào phê nhất - Duration: 11:21.

For more infomation >> Troll Gai Xinh - Thích Quan Hệ Tình Dục kiểu nào phê nhất - Duration: 11:21.

-------------------------------------------

De sims 4 | 52WOS | Week 43 Personage uit een serie - Duration: 5:02.

For more infomation >> De sims 4 | 52WOS | Week 43 Personage uit een serie - Duration: 5:02.

-------------------------------------------

CHOCOLATE STRAWBERRY BOMB II चॉकलेट स्ट्रॉबेरी बॉम्ब II BY HOME COOK KRITIKA SHARDA II - Duration: 2:40.

Hi welcome to F3 recipes & I'm Kritika

Today we are going to make a different kind of recipe, which will be surely liked by the kids

That is Chocolate Strawberry Bomb

For that we are using some Strawberries, Dark Chocolate, Milk Chocolate

Also dome Almonds & Cashew Nuts

Now you must be thinking this, what is this Chocolate Strawberry Bomb ?

I'll show you, it has lot of surprise into it

when I'll prepare that surprise will be out of it

Kids will be surely loving this Chocolate Strawberry Bomb

Because its lovely, easy and tasty to make it will take only 5 mins to prepare

And 30 mins to set it down.

Let's start preparing the recipe

I'm taking a strawberry and I'll slit it up

Now I'm going to add some Cashew Nuts & Almonds into it

Slightly press and keep it like this

And now we'll rest out of it and again putting some Cashew nuts & Almonds into it

Press them and keep it

I'm done with chopping and slitting and its been prepared

Now I'll drizzle some Dark Chocolate over it

And I'm sure your kids will really love this and elders can also relish this

This is dark chocolate and now I'm going to drizzle milk chocolate over the dark chocolate

My recipe is almost ready and I've to freeze this for 3.-45 mins & its ready to serve

So let's put it into refrigerator

Now we'll take it out after 30-45 mins and we can serve it kids and even to elders

So enjoy my recipe and if you like it, click over the like button

Share the video and subscribe to the channel for the beautiful and tasty recipes

Till then take care.. Bye

For more infomation >> CHOCOLATE STRAWBERRY BOMB II चॉकलेट स्ट्रॉबेरी बॉम्ब II BY HOME COOK KRITIKA SHARDA II - Duration: 2:40.

-------------------------------------------

New Zealand 1970 uncirculated coin set - Duration: 5:51.

Gday people and you're going today and this is Glen from Bank collect is

and today I'm gonna show you this a 1970 uncirculated coin set from our New

Zealand as you can see this is the cover it's a coat of arms why this quince it

was actually issued so royal visit and taze you if it's ordinary or proof and

this is ordinary uncirculated set now in the 60s to 70s Australian New Zealand

issued these types of coin sets and I'm pretty flimsy plastic and they issued a

mean red blue and green colors depending on the young some is they issued more

than two so open it up have the coins they're typical coins that were

circulating in 1970 and here we have some information you know take that out

if you want to read it you can pause it but just gives basic information on why

these coins are issued and that is time that issued bodied New Zealand Treasury

but now they are issued by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand the controls

banknotes and coins that issued in New Zealand and on the reverse we have

images that are on each of the coins near the denomination diameters in

inches which New Zealand straight change from inches to metric in the 1970s okay

so this back then so on the one cent they have it's a silver fern actually

just take your wet ferns on the 2 cent has the call hey blossom Navy endemic

plant on New Zealand so if fortune has taught our which is a

native animal lives on some islands of meself Islands hey attention has a Merry

Christmas

so Mary carved head under which ten Mary Padian yeah so it's called a potaka yeah

the twenty cent has K ways and then it's about three or four species of Kiwi

depending on the scientists you talk to and I presume they've been determined on

genetic studies because I look pretty identical and if I've sent 50 cent I

mean has endeavor which I Captain Cook's out on and it has the Pico Tenerife a

hmm Oh Mel Egmont okay any one dollar has a mount cook okay so let's have a

look at the coin already taking these out as you can see once it is firm to

sent her flowers

sorry just this it's a bit sticky her because this plastic is actually a

deteriorating the forcing totara 10 cents up I smile

yeah the guy in City I said a nice and the tongue a 20 cent has the Kiwi

christeson has endeavour

this commemorative bar and on let's mount cookie and see me out cookie yeah

I'm sure - oh your Rangi mountain range on the reverse it just has these with

the second either you guys might be mount Cooper is better like that yeah

there you go that's better image and this one had to be out Oh

three hundred thousand coins minted burning about thirty thousand in these

coin sets and this coin series 1970 the rare coin inside a 20 cent to sent in 50

cent coin the one five and ten cent on were issued for circulation so you can

only get about thirty thousand each of these two 20 and 50 cent coins oh good

theoretically get more money but in reality you New Zealand's population of

four million so the people who collect New Zealand coins you so pretty small

pay at a reverse so this coin set have anything on the back no anyway thank you

very much for watching and have a beautiful day

For more infomation >> New Zealand 1970 uncirculated coin set - Duration: 5:51.

-------------------------------------------

🎼🎵🎸[Hướng dẫn PIANO] Phai dấu cuộc tình (Quang Vinh) | iLoveGuitar9999 (TAB SHEET+LYRIC+HỢP ÂM) ✅ - Duration: 4:27.

New channel should be looking forward to everyone subscribing to follow ^^

Please press Subscribe / "Đăng Kí" (Y)

To get free tab, please message to fanpage face I Love Guitar 9999 (Link in description)

Have fun and practice successfully ^^ Thanks ^^

For more infomation >> 🎼🎵🎸[Hướng dẫn PIANO] Phai dấu cuộc tình (Quang Vinh) | iLoveGuitar9999 (TAB SHEET+LYRIC+HỢP ÂM) ✅ - Duration: 4:27.

-------------------------------------------

সরাসরি আজকের সারাদেশের বাংলা খবর ২৬ অক্টোবর ২০১৭ INDEPENDENT TV News Today Bangla News - Duration: 11:57.

bangladesh news 24

For more infomation >> সরাসরি আজকের সারাদেশের বাংলা খবর ২৬ অক্টোবর ২০১৭ INDEPENDENT TV News Today Bangla News - Duration: 11:57.

-------------------------------------------

Заниматься любимым делом - Duration: 1:40.

For more infomation >> Заниматься любимым делом - Duration: 1:40.

-------------------------------------------

How To Be More Confident!!! - Duration: 10:15.

hey guys it's Matt from Macro lean and in this video we're talking about

confidence. How to be more confident! Now, confidence is split into two areas. Your

inner confidence, your core confidence and your outer confidence. But inner

confidence is where it all begins so let's get into it. Inner confidence/ core

confidence is where it all begins and if you don't feel confident inside. In your

inner being. In your core. It doesn't matter what bravado, what mask you put

on to the outside world. You're still gonna fill un-aligned, you're still gonna

feel uneasy in yourself. So through my journey in

this lifetime of self-development and improving myself I have whittled it down

to being confident is really accepting who you are. Self-acceptance which

ultimately is self-love. Now that might sound cheesy, it might sound corny, and if

you've been in the self development world for a bit

reading books, going to seminars watching webinars

you've probably heard "You have to love yourself, you have to accept yourself" and

I heard this many years ago and it resonated with me. But then I also

thought how do I love myself, you know how do I accept myself. And really self

love is pure acceptance, acceptance of who you are. Your flaws, your

imperfections, your true being. Because if you accept yourself you can

love yourself and then you can be confident with who you are. But if you're

always rejecting parts of yourself?? you're never going to truly feel

confident and if I consciously tell you "accept yourself feel more confident". You

might know this consciously but if your subconscious which really rules you is

not taking this on as a true belief it's never going to happen.

Think of your conscious mind as the tip of an iceberg and your subconscious mind

at the submerged part. The submerged part is a much bigger and that's what's really

running you. your beliefs, your values is your subconscious so to

address self-acceptance we have to address the sub conscious. You can talk

about it all day "love yourself, accept yourself" But if

you're conscience isn't taking it on. You're

getting nowhere. So how do you do this? well first off we need to look back to why

we're feeling unconfident. It could be for a number of reasons. It could be

because of your childhood, it could be because of past trauma, it could be for a

bad relationship. There are a number of reasons and everyone is different.

Everyone is on a different path on a different journey but the bottom line is

somewhere in your subconscious you've taken it on as a belief an untrue belief

that you are not enough, and you won't accept yourself. So a process that I

learned quite a few years ago is going back to your childhood in your

subconscious mind and accepting yourself. Between the ages of 0-7

your subconscious mind is dominant. It's the dominant force from the age of zero

to seven. You're learning about the world, you're learning about boundaries, you're

learning about how things work and basically your mind is a malleable, it's

soft, itis plastic and you're soaking things up. And if some faulty programming

has gone on then, which it most likely has for a lot of us we're going to take on

these subconscious beliefs that aren't true and aren't serving us. So a few

years ago I discovered a process which I've used quite a bit and I felt it

helped me and I hope it can help you. and basically what you're going to do is

you're going to sit down and do some deep breathing into

a meditative state. Slow your breathing down and

try and empty your mind. After this you're going to visualize a smaller

version of yourself, a young version of yourself probably two, three or four around

the toddler age or very very young child. You're very innocent, you're very pure

and you're gonna see that small you in your mind's eye. What you're gonna do is

you're gonna pick up that small you, you're going to connect with that small

you, and you're going to accept that small you, that real you for everything

that it is. This is a very, very powerful technique and don't be

surprised if you become very, very emotional when this happens but it's a

good thing. You are releasing the parts of you that are not accepting maybe your

childhood issues or maybe issues in your past.

So I would sit down somewhere quiet I would take 10 to 20 deep breaths to slow

yourself down and bring yourself into a calm, meditative state and then I would

visualize a small you. The young child you were and you can see yourself

running around, you can see yourself playing. And I want you to visualize in

your mind's eye walking over and picking up that small you and holding them in your arms.

Looking into the eyes of a small you, and telling you that "you love you", that

you've accept you and that you will never abandon you again. and I want you

to hug that small you and when it fills time ,when it feels right I want you to

bring that small you. That energy into you, I want to you to unite the small you

and the adult you together and this is a very powerful way of starting the

healing process. Starting the acceptance process because if you do not accept you for

who you really are you will never have core confidence. You also need to be

aware that everyone is cut from the same cloth.

No one is different from anyone. If someone is better at certain thing

that's because they have more experience than you. It's not because you can't do

it. If you're telling yourself I can't do this, that person's better than me, that

person's more talented than me. That is not true! That is your ego trying to get

in the way! "No one is cut from a different cloth" so when you start to

realize this and look out into the world and see other people are

successful and I can be successful to.o Your confidence will also start to

increase. Another way that you can start to reprogram your mind, reprogram the

neural pathways with positive emotions is when you feel yourself maybe feeling

anxious, nervous or un-confident. You can start to repeat short positive powerful

affirmations to yourself, for example something as simple as "yes I can".." yes I

can do it".... "of course I can do it" and when I feel

anxious, nervous and un-confident I will repeat these affirmations to myself 10,

20,30 times. It's just to reprogram that mind and affirm that you can do anything,

you are the captain of your own ship, you control what goes on, and you control

your mind. After you've worked on your inner confidence your core confidence

you want to tie this together with your outer confidence and do a few things

with your physiology. This means basically your body and this is what

confident people do in most situations. Number one is eye contact, very very good

eye contact that displays confidence, that conveys you are confident. Someone who

is unconfident or shifty will be talking and they'll be looking away, they'll be

looking down, they'll be looking to the side and they might flick back and they

might look away. This doesn't convey a confident person, a confident person has

good posture and very good eye contact . The way I'm looking into the

lens now. BTW this isn't psycho scary over-the-top dramatic eye contact! This

is very calm, just look into the lens, look into people's eyes. This is how we

read people. And especially for guys if you're speaking to a girl that you like!

A girl will subconsciously be looking into your eyes to see if you are

congruent. If you're a man of your thought, word and action and if you have

crazy eye contact and you're looking away, looking down and you're feeling nervous

this doesn't convey confidence. But I don't care if you are a man or woman young or old. Eye

contact is very very important to convey confidence. Next comes a vocal projection.

When someone speaks soft and low "excuse me do you have the time" again this

doesn't convey confidence "Excuse me do you have the time please, thank you very

much" Good vocal tonality... again I don't care if you're a guy or a girl. Having

good vocal tonality will convey confidence. Confident people aren't

worried about what other people think, they can go and speak to strangers,

they can deal with interviews, they can deal with meetings, they can do public

speaking. They're confident in themselves and it all ties together good posture,

good eye contact, good vocal tonality. So having a good

tone in your voice, not speaking too quiet. Not looking away, looking people in the

eye and speaking clearly. Sometimes you can speak slowly sometimes you can speed

up. But really having a strong vocal tonality will convey confidence in you.

The last tip here is a mix of inner and outer confidence and it's basically

coming from a frame, a thought pattern that 'whatever you say has value' why?? because

you're saying it! You love yourself and this isn't a narcissistic unhealthy I'm

the best", I'm superior" love. This is self-acceptance okay, this isn't speaking

over other people, ignoring what they say or talking about yourself all the time

because that's fucking boring and that's not confidence that's actually

insecurity. It's if you want to say something it has value because you want

to say it. You're going through life being the best person you can, being a

positive influence and you have value. Come from that frame, come from that

mindset 'that whatever you do, whatever you say'

has value, and if you can tie that with inner and outer confidence together you will

feel more confident and you will appear more confident. And that is my top tips

on inner and outer confidence.

Không có nhận xét nào:

Đăng nhận xét