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It had been more than two months since North Korea provoked its neighbors through a provocation,
so a missile launch around this time was not totally unexpected.
Let's now look back at the other missile tests this year, the patterns in their timing, and
possible reasons why the North chose this morning to launch its longest-range missile
so far.
Arirang's Lee Jeong-yeon has this report.
North Korea has broken its 10-week lull in missile test launches... by firing what appears
to be its longest-range intercontinental ballistic missile to date.
The latest test, which took place this Wednesday, is the 17th missile launch by the regime this
year.
And it's the 11th missile test by the North during the Moon Jae-in administration, starting
with the Hwasong-12 that Pyongyang launched just days after the South Korean president
took office.
The pattern of tests conducted by the regime this year indicated there were between one
and four nuclear or missile tests every month,... so the two-month lull in tests had raised
hopes, now proven false, that the regime may be ready for diplomatic dialogue.
The latest launch which broke this silence, raised speculation as to whether it can be
taken as a sign of direct provocation against the U.S. ... as it comes on the heels of U.S.
President Donald Trump's announcement on November 20th that the U.S. is designating North Korea
as a state sponsor of terrorism.
However, Cho Sung-ryul, Senior Researcher at the Institute for National Security Strategy
says that based on the altitude and range of the latest missile test, it is most likely
to have been planned in advance, rather than instigated by certain events.
He also added that the two-month lull in provocations was most likely for preparation and technical
fine-tuning to accomplish the North's year-end goal of perfecting its nuclear and missile
technology, instead of a sign of change,... as the international community had hoped.
Lee Jeong-yeon, Arirang News
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